Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa5c1ba1fdd0b9e59cafe35acc94b34ecff090621c6567410857c1578abd9916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 28c | 23,043$6,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,494.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 8,425$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.9 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 6,968$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.06 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 6,655$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 72c | 6,192$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.42 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 3,154$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 3,132$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.13 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 2,492$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 2,097$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.63 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 1,796$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 71c | 1,675$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 1,571$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 1,317$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.56 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 847.15$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 15c | 832$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 829.02$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.64 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 818.79$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.34 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 17c | 626.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 601.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.42 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 37c | 547.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 513.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 500.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.41 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 22c | 441.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 65c | 348$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 74c | 338$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 303.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 72c | 299.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 36c | 278.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 28c | 210.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 75c | 191.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 15c | 179.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 167.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…ddb2backed Yes | 12c | 167$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 73c | 164.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 34c | 158.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 30c | 145.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 135.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 13c | 131.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 125.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 30c | 122.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 53c | 120.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 114.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +180.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 104.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…b45fbacked Yes | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 15c | 96.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…c293backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 74.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 29c | 71.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 70c | 67.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 73c | 64.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Yes | 18c | 58.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +185%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 56.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.