Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d249caf26169a95b8b5f661b2992e103904ac1a8949adf4a3923913f1e28ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 72c | 7,200$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 73c | 6,586$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,339$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.89 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 4,377$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.92 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…a3b7backed No | 71c | 4,337$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 2,178$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 28c | 1,935$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 1,691$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.27 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,573$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 1,338$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 79c | 1,088$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,033$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…4be6backed Yes | 74c | 824.79$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 799.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 742.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…e828backed Yes | 28c | 571.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 544.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 437.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 414.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked No | 71c | 385.05$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 7c | 368.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 72c | 344$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 327.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…c45cbacked No | 73c | 260.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 29c | 250.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 244.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 28c | 209.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes | 25c | 175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 68c | 162.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 152$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 143.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 28c | 140.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…ddb2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 28c | 126.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 20c | 123.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 119.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 15c | 109.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 103.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 20c | 92.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 83.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 79.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…1562backed Yes | 28c | 56.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 28c | 55.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 70c | 54.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 72c | 47.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…6521backed No | 73c | 42.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 29c | 38.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…f3e0backed No | 73c | 36.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 60c | 35.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…8e67backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 26.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 72c | 23.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 74c | 23.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked No | 72c | 22.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…c3d8backed No | 71c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…2723backed No | 73c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…421dbacked No | 73c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…e6f4backed No | 73c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 69c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…b74bbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…247abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.