TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stakusicof Stakusic, Yastremska
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Stakusic59c6,238$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.337,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yastremska68c5,367$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.8855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yastremska20c4,459$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.991,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yastremska19c3,974$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.052,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Stakusic64c3,709$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.636,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Yastremska41c3,301$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.82,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yastremska2c2,598$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Stakusic46c2,159$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.0931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stakusic54c2,118$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yastremska34c2,060$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yastremska61c1,866$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.554936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yastremska9c1,625$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.248,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Stakusic40c1,508$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.551,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yastremska12c1,482$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Yastremska40c1,113$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Yastremska24c880$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.316133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yastremska31c676$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.921,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Stakusic61c654.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.016344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yastremska56c604.95$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.641,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stakusic34c596.54$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.721,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yastremska32c595.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.71,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yastremska31c577$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2253644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yastremska30c558$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Stakusic59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4716665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Yastremska41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yastremska32c469$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Stakusic55c456.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.173360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Stakusic79c444$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2422344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Yastremska25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stakusic39c370.23$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.161,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Yastremska54c352.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.832,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yastremska15c344.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.834,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yastremska61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Yastremska61c327.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Yastremska50c310$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.83246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stakusic79c303.78$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yastremska24c303.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yastremska33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Stakusic39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18336349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…0bc8backed Stakusic40c293.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yastremska37c271.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yastremska18c252$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yastremska60c240.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.551,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Yastremska42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8318863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Yastremska65c194.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12635268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yastremska26c181.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.133,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stakusic76c181.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.367,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stakusic38c178.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.174,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Stakusic40c162.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yastremska61c144$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.844,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Yastremska18c138.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yastremska38c136.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.234,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yastremska11c136$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9633326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stakusic54c134.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Stakusic40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stakusic60c122.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Yastremska42c110.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3511745.3%53 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stakusic69c109.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.336,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa990…965cbacked Yastremska63c103$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yastremska64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2677967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yastremska25c82.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5626227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Yastremska61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Stakusic38c81.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Yastremska64c78.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Stakusic39c74.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.353058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5344…630ebacked Yastremska49c72.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.725738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Stakusic36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Stakusic40c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Stakusic39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yastremska61c59.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.141,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Yastremska68c55.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yastremska61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.931,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Stakusic46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Yastremska64c48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7221072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yastremska67c44.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Stakusic34c35.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.114,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Stakusic36c34.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37c…e365backed Yastremska67c32.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Yastremska63c31.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yastremska42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.668430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5239…b328backed Yastremska60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Yastremska67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Stakusic39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8093…c3a6backed Stakusic38c26.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…159cbacked Yastremska55c25.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2be1…2670backed Yastremska50c20.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yastremska66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.