TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd37c…e365

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$63.42
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+128.8%+$32.2
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+130.9%+$19.63
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$10
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+26.6%+$3
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+79.7%+$11.95
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+104.1%+$24.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$28
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: McCartney Kessler vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$330.74
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$89.42
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$42.53
Wuhan Tennis Open: Laura Siegemund vs Magdalena Frechbacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$21.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.