TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Kings, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,392,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,393,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,392,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa647…64eebacked Kings0c4,162,439$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.7319350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a8…0f02backed Kings0c55,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings25c39,948$10,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,090.9659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Clippers40c21,076$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,575.575457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings48c13,262$6,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,415.4665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Clippers41c7,736$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,552.916744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Kings4c5,844$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.044712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…e741backed Kings48c5,413$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.581080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Clippers40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c3,566$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…69d7backed Clippers45c3,236$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76b…0956backed Kings55c3,236$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings15c3,229$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings60c3,202$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.2927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Kings2c2,569$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.276435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Clippers75c2,493$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Kings1c2,234$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Clippers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Kings14c1,946$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Kings60c1,854$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…f405backed Clippers41c1,854$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings19c1,579$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Kings1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Kings61c1,345$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8812040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Kings39c1,322$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51115034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…5d7abacked Clippers39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers36c1,100$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Kings58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x337b…0503backed Clippers40c1,034$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings25c1,018$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4217244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Kings7c999.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Clippers41c999.96$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.988043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c8…8079backed Kings60c976.72$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers40c945.97$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.731,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf3…2beabacked Kings19c938.22$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.73911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Clippers43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2311135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Kings58c803.65$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47020153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings15c781.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.871,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Clippers42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2923646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Kings18c698.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8577437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Kings58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Clippers79c633.52$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5230954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Kings60c583$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Clippers41c582.93$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.931540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Clippers49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.057536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Kings57c512.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.352152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Clippers58c498.12$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21134548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings57c496.6$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a9…b2c0backed Kings12c490.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings13c478.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Clippers60c455.79$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7917363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Kings16c450$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea04…9ca4backed Kings18c413.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Clippers65c371$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4511146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Clippers77c329.69$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.838469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Kings62c322.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.696829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Clippers43c313.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.953259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings40c313.73$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Clippers40c311.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.833450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Kings18c305.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.347623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Clippers37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1895820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…0c1abacked Clippers68c295.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.564755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Clippers70c294.43$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3310243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Clippers36c277.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7617834.8%62 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ca…9427backed Clippers40c268.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d3…3078backed Clippers40c267.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…8d13backed Clippers40c257.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…0c53backed Clippers78c255.13$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1e…cee2backed Clippers40c251.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.282045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x577e…9c51backed Clippers41c248.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Clippers40c246.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9512841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b1…9f83backed Clippers41c244.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Kings56c244.15$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4910051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x723e…8addbacked Clippers41c244.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Clippers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.110153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da2…a147backed Kings17c233.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Kings11c221.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Kings67c213.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1916345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6d7…4d24backed Clippers39c210.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.442035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Clippers42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Clippers43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Kings61c197.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.329557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a70…52ccbacked Kings60c195.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…6368backed Kings49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd39f…2c71backed Clippers51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fd…eaeabacked Kings32c193.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Kings13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x921c…66d4backed Clippers43c190.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f53…69e7backed Kings59c190.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Kings9c188.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Clippers40c187$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649b…f9ccbacked Kings27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kings59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf006…6816backed Kings60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Kings57c142.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0926933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Clippers39c132.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0315942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Clippers44c131.83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8223048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.