NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c69fd431522d5af48b2c165cfeb1f42ced0dca317b98d0c28bb2d56564bd3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 50,123$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,846.08 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 32,910$15,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,767.76 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Timberwolves | 2c | 15,932$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 44c | 10,536$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.2 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 8,289$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Timberwolves | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Rockets | 75c | 7,793$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.12 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Rockets | 50c | 5,061$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.31 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,879$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.51 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Rockets | 49c | 3,828$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.02 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Rockets | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.97 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,520$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,500$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Rockets | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 3,197$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Timberwolves | 60c | 2,954$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 2,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Timberwolves | 23c | 2,422$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.71 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Timberwolves | 60c | 2,420$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets | 43c | 2,320$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Rockets | 41c | 2,187$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 2,073$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 4c | 2,034$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Rockets | 40c | 2,021$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,019$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…b5b4backed Rockets | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ffc8backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,964$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 58c | 1,863$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,749$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Rockets | 40c | 1,749$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 43c | 1,743$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.43 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Rockets | 42c | 1,685$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Rockets | 46c | 1,644$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.93 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Rockets | 39c | 1,412$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Rockets | 43c | 1,316$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 1,302$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.23 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Rockets | 74c | 1,214$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Rockets | 51c | 1,184$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 40c | 1,134$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.39 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,123$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,083$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rockets | 41c | 1,083$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.93 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Rockets | 43c | 1,082$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,048$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 28c | 986.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Rockets | 40c | 977.27$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.36 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…08a6backed Rockets | 40c | 957.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 53c | 933.2$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.37 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Rockets | 54c | 865.72$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…d5c2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 841$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Timberwolves | 61c | 833.31$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 814.04$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 75c | 811.98$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Timberwolves | 16c | 804.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 59c | 717.46$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Rockets | 47c | 716.85$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…814ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 700.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.40per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 40c | 700.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Rockets | 48c | 697.01$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.85 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Rockets | 41c | 695.12$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…02a0backed Rockets | 67c | 669.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…8079backed Timberwolves | 55c | 636.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Rockets | 68c | 635.49$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Rockets | 41c | 634.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 65c | 500.26$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Rockets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Timberwolves | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Rockets | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rockets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Rockets | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 61c | 492.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Rockets | 41c | 477$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Rockets | 40c | 476.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Rockets | 56c | 468.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Rockets | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Rockets | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Rockets | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Rockets | 45c | 447.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Rockets | 35c | 442.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.34 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Rockets | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Rockets | 48c | 436.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…b898backed Rockets | 43c | 432.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Timberwolves | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…317bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 408.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Rockets | 44c | 392.11$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 380.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 354.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Rockets | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 50c | 350$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Rockets | 28c | 324.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.77 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.