TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Magic, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Magic7c72,319$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.6722832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Clippers42c13,096$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,596.435457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic55c12,640$6,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,924.3947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Magic8c12,605$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0316443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…5977backed Clippers45c11,872$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,568.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Clippers40c9,384$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,630.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Magic3c8,600$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic60c8,423$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.9727546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic50c7,935$3,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,942.7465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Magic11c6,406$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.218439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Magic6c6,129$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9311332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Magic23c5,938$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.2619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Magic4c4,976$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.981,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b0…4940backed Clippers54c4,627$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.22560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Magic46c4,210$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.814233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Magic9c4,135$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9111719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb84…fc70backed Clippers42c3,001$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Magic60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8006141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Magic58c2,661$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.441650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb00…528abacked Magic57c2,574$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Clippers43c2,499$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.2829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic57c2,468$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.5159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.151,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebaa…992ebacked Magic58c2,412$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Clippers41c2,412$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.032055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Clippers49c2,398$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.0519152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Magic55c2,378$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.062245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef2…b16abacked Clippers43c2,325$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Magic7c2,310$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.638658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Magic55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.8237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb13…1918backed Magic9c1,900$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.993151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Clippers45c1,578$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.0625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers44c1,493$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Clippers47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7422839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Magic11c1,321$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Magic24c1,252$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Magic54c1,221$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.295856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Clippers42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4812451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Magic53c1,185$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.812326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x958e…1a56backed Clippers41c1,103$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.091136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Magic58c1,103$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.891050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Magic60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Clippers47c1,000$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca09…74e7backed Clippers41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Clippers41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5908043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Magic23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Magic59c999.98$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Magic56c999.93$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.963050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Magic59c983.93$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.524753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Clippers47c975.52$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.658144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Clippers42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5228417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Magic59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Clippers45c783.89$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8911135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Magic56c747.17$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers44c678.68$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.631,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers53c633.41$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.21,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Magic10c595.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5112131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x690e…ff86backed Magic59c594.05$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa556…a400backed Clippers42c594.05$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Clippers45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5621338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Magic13c524.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a0…2ab4backed Clippers66c490.21$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.433953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…bbb8backed Magic15c411.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Magic17c407.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Magic46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d0…ccfebacked Magic58c383.79$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…aac6backed Clippers43c383.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Magic58c350.29$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.298548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f7…92b9backed Clippers44c347.73$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Magic49c341.24$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3611834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3df…d0f8backed Magic56c341.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…2ba9backed Clippers44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0691…c192backed Magic57c340$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Clippers79c319.36$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9523048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic11c316$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Clippers50c310$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.37623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…b9e5backed Clippers42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…5d7abacked Clippers53c298.57$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Magic38c294.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8517244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Magic46c283.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Magic54c279.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Clippers42c279.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb27e…1961backed Clippers48c251.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.813060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…196ebacked Clippers42c250.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Magic54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Magic49c249.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4910243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Clippers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.910153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic59c239.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5aa…b6f8backed Clippers46c223.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.571233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5a57backed Clippers43c222.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf77…f4a1backed Magic58c222.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3760…e742backed Magic55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b37…3804backed Clippers47c218.09$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Clippers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba9…b6f3backed Clippers57c211.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Clippers47c210.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.494637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Magic60c210$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.