NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54376801ad95230ff6991bcf75ec58654323961ee98cc126d047e72acfee7dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Warriors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 67c | 29,654$19,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.45 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 35c | 10,574$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.8 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 16c | 9,921$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.55 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 10c | 6,265$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 7c | 5,728$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.87 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Warriors | 50c | 4,391$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Nuggets | 57c | 4,326$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.8 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,670$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.11 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Warriors | 37c | 3,021$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.98 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 37c | 3,001$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.66 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 38c | 3,000$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.79 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,971$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.21 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 38c | 2,925$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Warriors | 39c | 2,434$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.47 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,427$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,281$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.99 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Warriors | 3c | 2,200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Nuggets | 65c | 2,011$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.61 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 39c | 2,001$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.69 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 35c | 1,979$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.77 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,782$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.29 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,668$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,654$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.2 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 39c | 1,475$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 1c | 1,468$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 36c | 1,422$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.1 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Warriors | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Warriors | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…fa85backed Nuggets | 64c | 1,278$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Warriors | 27c | 1,199$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Nuggets | 63c | 1,118$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Warriors | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Nuggets | 14c | 1,080$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.6 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Warriors | 32c | 1,061$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Warriors | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,045$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 36c | 952.21$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Warriors | 37c | 948$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 64c | 904.87$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.75 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…9d0abacked Nuggets | 52c | 900$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Nuggets | 65c | 848.5$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 802.87$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 42c | 715$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…17f2backed Warriors | 37c | 704.32$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Nuggets | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Warriors | 46c | 695.78$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 9c | 660.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.84 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964d…88fabacked Warriors | 79c | 644.25$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 41c | 599.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 63c | 574.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Warriors | 36c | 545$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Nuggets | 62c | 544.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 37c | 522.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Warriors | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nuggets | 80c | 491.75$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Nuggets | 44c | 475.85$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.87 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Nuggets | 65c | 464.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Nuggets | 71c | 463.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 35c | 454.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…7ec1backed Warriors | 4c | 445.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets | 64c | 416.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 66c | 413.65$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Warriors | 44c | 408.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Nuggets | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 4c | 399$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…846ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 398.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…6747backed Nuggets | 63c | 394.32$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Nuggets | 64c | 375.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 375.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Warriors | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 350.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Nuggets | 73c | 339.14$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Warriors | 35c | 336.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Nuggets | 65c | 319$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Warriors | 38c | 313.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Nuggets | 66c | 300.07$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 299.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…c233backed Nuggets | 17c | 296.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Warriors | 9c | 283.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nuggets | 57c | 265.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…8f7bbacked Warriors | 56c | 264.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Warriors | 47c | 258.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nuggets | 35c | 245.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 23c | 236.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…ede8backed Warriors | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…f467backed Warriors | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Nuggets | 64c | 222$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Nuggets | 62c | 214.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…6c2abacked Warriors | 36c | 214.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Warriors | 58c | 212.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…185cbacked Warriors | 56c | 206.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.