Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: McCartney Kessler vs Leylah Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4056b3eb82bb897975fee9b3397b71eb18dbb997b26ab876e497db9f642331ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kesslerof Kessler, Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fernandez | 13c | 13,043$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Kessler | 78c | 11,288$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fernandez | 29c | 6,659$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kessler | 43c | 5,790$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.34 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fernandez | 15c | 5,334$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fernandez | 1c | 4,194$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fernandez | 57c | 3,836$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.4 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fernandez | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.3 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Kessler | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kessler | 47c | 2,122$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.06 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kessler | 41c | 2,000$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.81 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kessler | 64c | 1,931$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…7701backed Fernandez | 31c | 1,710$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Fernandez | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…cf79backed Fernandez | 38c | 1,359$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Fernandez | 18c | 1,268$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fernandez | 26c | 1,138$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fernandez | 11c | 1,090$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Kessler | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Fernandez | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Kessler | 70c | 966.71$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.89 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Fernandez | 23c | 875.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Fernandez | 56c | 769.84$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.11 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Fernandez | 25c | 739.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Fernandez | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Kessler | 75c | 712.4$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fernandez | 20c | 710.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kessler | 41c | 698.52$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kessler | 75c | 687$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Fernandez | 24c | 599.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Fernandez | 58c | 519.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kessler | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Fernandez | 35c | 492.89$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fernandez | 33c | 402.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Fernandez | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fernandez | 35c | 373.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Kessler | 40c | 365.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Fernandez | 57c | 361.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Kessler | 55c | 358.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Kessler | 48c | 344.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…fe82backed Kessler | 48c | 327.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kessler | 47c | 321.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Kessler | 67c | 307.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fernandez | 21c | 305$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kessler | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…a61bbacked Kessler | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…834fbacked Fernandez | 55c | 249.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…8c2bbacked Fernandez | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kessler | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…0107backed Kessler | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Fernandez | 19c | 213.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Kessler | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kessler | 47c | 199.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kessler | 68c | 199$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fernandez | 58c | 198.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Kessler | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Fernandez | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fernandez | 30c | 162.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed Fernandez | 55c | 152.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Fernandez | 56c | 140.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kessler | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Fernandez | 19c | 131.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Fernandez | 27c | 131.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Kessler | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Fernandez | 59c | 126.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fernandez | 17c | 122.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…2907backed Kessler | 66c | 117.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Fernandez | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Fernandez | 53c | 96.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…e365backed Fernandez | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fernandez | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kessler | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Fernandez | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…8702backed Fernandez | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Fernandez | 31c | 64.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Fernandez | 20c | 61.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fernandez | 34c | 60.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Kessler | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c3e2backed Fernandez | 70c | 50.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kessler | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fernandez | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Fernandez | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Kessler | 72c | 44.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Kessler | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Kessler | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Fernandez | 56c | 44.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…f00dbacked Kessler | 74c | 43.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Fernandez | 34c | 42.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Fernandez | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…b926backed Kessler | 80c | 40.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Fernandez | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fernandez | 53c | 39.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Kessler | 69c | 37.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kessler | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Kessler | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Fernandez | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…8713backed Fernandez | 49c | 34.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…dc1ebacked Fernandez | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Fernandez | 47c | 34.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…1d18backed Fernandez | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: McCartney Kessler vs Leylah Fernandezthis page
- Kessler vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kessler vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Kessler vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Kessler vs. Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kessler vs FernandezKessler won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.