NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab324d9b84978af12837a662f85dd1be4eeb7ce10c03ae83d411d866423982bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 17c | 37,444$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.46 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 57c | 33,180$18,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,898.71 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Clippers | 25c | 21,950$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,358.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Clippers | 68c | 11,482$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.69 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…da1ebacked Nuggets | 0c | 11,016$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 68c | 10,689$7,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.6 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers | 68c | 5,763$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.54 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Clippers | 37c | 5,075$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.26 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 2c | 4,981$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Nuggets | 34c | 4,828$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.36 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 60c | 3,636$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 41c | 3,580$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.4 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,477$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.34 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 43c | 3,000$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.75 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,939$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nuggets | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Clippers | 37c | 2,453$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.35 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,200$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.99 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,168$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Clippers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,916$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.25 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.1 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Clippers | 59c | 1,753$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,679$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,651$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Clippers | 42c | 1,647$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.01 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 46c | 1,638$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,618$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.62 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Clippers | 72c | 1,424$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.23 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Clippers | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Clippers | 30c | 1,393$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.05 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Clippers | 38c | 1,181$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,046$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Nuggets | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Clippers | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Clippers | 42c | 999.66$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.8 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Nuggets | 22c | 993.89$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 58c | 986.53$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.19 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Nuggets | 63c | 953.64$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Nuggets | 44c | 919.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 41c | 886.93$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.86 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…27fbbacked Nuggets | 39c | 880.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Clippers | 50c | 874.09$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Nuggets | 50c | 805.42$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 55c | 701.91$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…93b4backed Nuggets | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…de66backed Clippers | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Clippers | 40c | 637.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Nuggets | 31c | 636.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Clippers | 66c | 599.94$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 596.03$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.74 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Clippers | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Nuggets | 3c | 575.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Nuggets | 59c | 557$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Nuggets | 59c | 519.31$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Nuggets | 41c | 513.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Nuggets | 52c | 485.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Clippers | 42c | 460.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Nuggets | 41c | 458.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Clippers | 56c | 442.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Clippers | 36c | 402.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Clippers | 33c | 400$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Clippers | 35c | 396$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets | 68c | 392.01$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Nuggets | 57c | 391.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Nuggets | 10c | 361.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Clippers | 43c | 349$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…854fbacked Clippers | 43c | 348.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…3fe7backed Nuggets | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Nuggets | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed Nuggets | 52c | 324.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Nuggets | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…8316backed Nuggets | 58c | 283.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…ba87backed Clippers | 64c | 281.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Clippers | 34c | 280.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Clippers | 42c | 278.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Nuggets | 69c | 270.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Clippers | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 58c | 239.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 238.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Nuggets | 59c | 238.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 233.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 231.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Clippers | 46c | 222$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 56c | 217.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Clippers | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…41a9backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…fae5backed Nuggets | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Clippers | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Clippers | 41c | 199.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Nuggets | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 197.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Nuggets | 21c | 195.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers | 54c | 186.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…b625backed Nuggets | 40c | 185.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.