NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb480d3aac2056c84dc4299133cc4ef38c45d6b756bcb89edb9a87399954268b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pacers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 829 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 62c | 14,741$9,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,157.9 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Pacers | 51c | 8,558$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.1 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Pacers | 33c | 8,500$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Magic | 51c | 6,563$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.88 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic | 51c | 6,210$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.66 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Pacers | 58c | 6,199$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 48c | 5,388$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.98 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,273$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.11 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Pacers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Pacers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Magic | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Magic | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…8861backed Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…a4cebacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Magic | 39c | 4,235$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.66 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 2c | 3,967$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 55c | 3,966$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pacers | 2c | 3,706$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Pacers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Pacers | 56c | 2,596$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.81 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers | 50c | 2,593$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…7240backed Pacers | 52c | 2,205$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…03fcbacked Magic | 49c | 2,136$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…2faabacked Pacers | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Magic | 48c | 2,063$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…aa03backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Pacers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Pacers | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…234abacked Magic | 45c | 1,981$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc489…62b6backed Magic | 42c | 1,657$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 47c | 1,603$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.25 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Magic | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.37 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pacers | 4c | 1,509$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…a9e4backed Pacers | 54c | 1,456$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,448$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.62 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Pacers | 50c | 1,437$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.14 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Pacers | 56c | 1,385$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Pacers | 50c | 1,235$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.65 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Magic | 49c | 1,232$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Magic | 76c | 1,225$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Pacers | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Magic | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Pacers | 70c | 1,124$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Pacers | 43c | 1,100$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Pacers | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Magic | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…c998backed Magic | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Magic | 49c | 1,011$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pacers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Pacers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Magic | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Pacers | 51c | 990.25$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Magic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic | 41c | 976.88$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Magic | 45c | 893.81$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.11 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…2bacbacked Pacers | 60c | 891.72$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Pacers | 29c | 885.39$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Pacers | 51c | 862.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Pacers | 48c | 789.34$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Magic | 52c | 789$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…8d04backed Magic | 46c | 777.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Pacers | 51c | 777.14$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1ce4backed Magic | 43c | 701$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…07b8backed Pacers | 54c | 680.62$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Pacers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Magic | 52c | 575.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Magic | 35c | 569.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.44 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pacers | 62c | 566.66$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Magic | 46c | 544.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.52 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…cccabacked Pacers | 40c | 526.83$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a97…fe4fbacked Pacers | 56c | 456.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Pacers | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…7cf3backed Magic | 48c | 448.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pacers | 53c | 420.28$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…c4e8backed Pacers | 53c | 403$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Magic | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Magic | 49c | 390.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Pacers | 22c | 385.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.