MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3b6425469329e31808dfc859f006cc2502bb9e48af97108fc3543e20a88370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Rays | 47c | 98,113$45,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,409.47 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 54c | 41,909$22,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,638.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 53c | 33,414$17,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,715.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Rays | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.95 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rays | 52c | 14,956$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.37 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 53c | 12,968$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 43c | 12,420$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,311 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rays | 46c | 12,175$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Yankees | 54c | 12,175$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.28 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Yankees | 54c | 12,140$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.58 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yankees | 54c | 10,850$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.96 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 10,200$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 28c | 10,190$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.4 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rays | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 51c | 6,922$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 46c | 6,191$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 54c | 4,059$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 49c | 4,032$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Rays | 78c | 4,017$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.94 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 67c | 3,554$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rays | 46c | 3,400$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yankees | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yankees | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yankees | 51c | 2,176$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rays | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yankees | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Yankees | 48c | 1,940$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.18 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 63c | 1,916$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.84 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yankees | 39c | 1,750$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.38 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 47c | 1,717$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.27 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 54c | 1,650$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Rays | 68c | 1,469$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.83 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…05aebacked Yankees | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,274$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Rays | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…0b91backed Rays | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…a9a1backed Yankees | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Rays | 45c | 1,034$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rays | 47c | 1,011$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.8 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 47c | 984.32$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.04 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 67c | 939.44$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 45c | 869.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 38c | 845.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Yankees | 33c | 769.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…b932backed Yankees | 45c | 740$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 58c | 724.1$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.98 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 55c | 666.92$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 45c | 655$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yankees | 51c | 608.06$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yankees | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 58c | 559.89$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rays | 54c | 494.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Rays | 58c | 492.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 63c | 488.06$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Yankees | 54c | 461.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Rays | 58c | 458.77$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Rays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 53c | 375.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 78c | 371.15$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays | 46c | 348.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Rays | 51c | 341.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rays | 71c | 324.17$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Rays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Yankees | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 299.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Rays | 71c | 254$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed Yankees | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Rays | 78c | 247.44$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 54c | 243.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yankees | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 52c | 215.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Rays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 46c | 211.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rays | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 58c | 194.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yankees | 54c | 188.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Yankees | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 46c | 180.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays | 47c | 159.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Yankees | 49c | 157.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rays | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.