NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571ebd2f18861e9a55338a608fb3a8bafe9980c2bfb0a9fc68b23aef0d773918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,064 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 80c | 35,131$27,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.17 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed 76ers | 23c | 34,500$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.95 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed 76ers | 17c | 19,847$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 63c | 13,662$8,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.09 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked 76ers | 19c | 12,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.97 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 76ers | 36c | 11,160$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.02 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed 76ers | 18c | 8,867$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.01 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed 76ers | 32c | 8,775$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.38 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked 76ers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed 76ers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Cavaliers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Cavaliers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked 76ers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Cavaliers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed 76ers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…8861backed Cavaliers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked 76ers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed 76ers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked 76ers | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked 76ers | 23c | 4,474$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Cavaliers | 67c | 4,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 76ers | 13c | 3,206$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.57 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked 76ers | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…abe1backed 76ers | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 73c | 2,611$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.2 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…377fbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 2,397$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,141$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…5d7bbacked 76ers | 21c | 2,141$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,053$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers | 27c | 2,051$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed 76ers | 34c | 1,977$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 11c | 1,575$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed 76ers | 24c | 1,400$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,363$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed 76ers | 23c | 1,362$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…3dbbbacked 76ers | 21c | 1,245$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…f88abacked 76ers | 21c | 1,153$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 33c | 1,120$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 76ers | 29c | 1,050$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.93 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 17c | 999.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Cavaliers | 64c | 932.27$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.27 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…4361backed 76ers | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed 76ers | 21c | 898.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…77aabacked 76ers | 18c | 758.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed 76ers | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…e961backed 76ers | 19c | 715.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked 76ers | 21c | 699.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…58aabacked 76ers | 21c | 642.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 602.23$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked 76ers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed 76ers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed 76ers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed 76ers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked 76ers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked 76ers | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked 76ers | 12c | 444$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 435.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 76ers | 21c | 430$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Cavaliers | 79c | 423.68$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed 76ers | 18c | 391.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…a50fbacked 76ers | 23c | 391.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed 76ers | 27c | 383.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers | 17c | 380.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 376.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked 76ers | 12c | 366.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…2ba3backed 76ers | 21c | 350.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed 76ers | 19c | 350.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed 76ers | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…6320backed Cavaliers | 65c | 322.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 315.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…b36ebacked 76ers | 18c | 301.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 78c | 299.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c721backed 76ers | 12c | 299.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed 76ers | 26c | 295$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 290.66$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked 76ers | 21c | 274.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed 76ers | 19c | 263.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…542fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…aedebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 243.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…2119backed 76ers | 23c | 239.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609a…786dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 235$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers | 11c | 229.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed 76ers | 18c | 226.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked 76ers | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed 76ers | 17c | 212.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed 76ers | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6806backed 76ers | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed 76ers | 13c | 194.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6b33backed 76ers | 25c | 190$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.