Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Fiona Ferro vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525d192afa506234bb0632c545e991fb97c5b12683e906162c7340523e9e4cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garciaof Ferro, Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ferro | 36c | 4,110$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.22 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ferro | 6c | 2,292$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Ferro | 34c | 2,147$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.91 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ferro | 23c | 1,606$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Garcia | 65c | 1,506$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Ferro | 36c | 1,495$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Ferro | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Garcia | 47c | 1,209$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Garcia | 27c | 1,131$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.33 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Ferro | 34c | 635.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ferro | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Garcia | 69c | 596$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Ferro | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Garcia | 52c | 530.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Garcia | 71c | 496$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…965cbacked Ferro | 44c | 420.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Garcia | 61c | 352.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Garcia | 29c | 324.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Garcia | 67c | 299.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Ferro | 42c | 286.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ferro | 71c | 280.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Garcia | 28c | 234.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Ferro | 35c | 202.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Garcia | 30c | 181.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Garcia | 64c | 177.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Garcia | 74c | 174.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ferro | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ferro | 37c | 147.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Ferro | 26c | 137.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ferro | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ferro | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Garcia | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ferro | 35c | 79.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garcia | 28c | 78.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…7996backed Garcia | 61c | 58.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…272fbacked Garcia | 30c | 58.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Ferro | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Ferro | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ferro | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Ferro | 57c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Garcia | 68c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Garcia | 61c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Garcia | 64c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d333backed Ferro | 71c | 20.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…2803backed Ferro | 71c | 20.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2a…1e5cbacked Ferro | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Garcia | 66c | 19.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…2670backed Ferro | 57c | 18.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…3c3dbacked Ferro | 71c | 17.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ferro | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…bff6backed Garcia | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.