TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed No78c44,868$34,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,870.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c29,110$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,591.6571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c27,652$15,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,210.141,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes22c19,959$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.0321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked No40c17,500$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes22c10,523$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.063423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c7,831$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.561,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c7,056$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.1952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No77c5,514$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.229159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No78c4,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No77c3,814$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.166553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No31c3,273$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.2815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes23c2,586$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c2,033$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,589$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.121656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes10c1,138$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c1,129$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.8562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c979.58$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed No35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c853$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes10c632.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c549.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes23c515$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.454427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No32c500$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3393743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes68c419.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed No28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No63c373.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed No35c373.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.95633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No29c345.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes9c302.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No61c291.88$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No61c273.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1313246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57be…5bb4backed No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c263$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…e251backed Yes21c243.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked No34c226.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.493050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes21c193$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c163$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9324052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes56c148.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c148$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c143.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1213844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes22c139.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c129.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c118.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.655322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes9c118$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.624330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes21c112.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick39cpaid+116.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x979a…468cbacked No77c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No77c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.154151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked No45c99.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.961827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes21c96.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed No31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No54c96.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.379535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No30c94.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.462630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Yes62c94.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No75c91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7527244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed1…b514backed Yes66c87.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No27c86.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.547138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes23c85.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.693756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes66c80.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes37c79.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes53c74.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No61c69.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1118360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c66.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fbe…dd8fbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked No28c60.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+77.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked Yes68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked No35c56.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.574630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes22c56.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes22c56.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.079661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes22c52.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5113144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aab…bce3backed Yes22c50.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…4880backed Yes79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8818245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed No20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8820454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3755…4f02backed Yes22c48.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5372…bac1backed Yes21c48.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes22c46.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4864…80f3backed Yes22c46.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes34c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6416242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd591…8363backed No80c37.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ae…3550backed No28c37.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.