Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bceb581483f4e4f539083b85db509f65ac7aa8e94d7e0104213014459bc9da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 30c | 33,250$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 71c | 10,350$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 10,156$7,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,112.19 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 6,022$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.49 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.32 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 4,360$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.3 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,992$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,404$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,386$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.86 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 30c | 1,370$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 28c | 929.07$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.91 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 739.89$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 453.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 28c | 422.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 380.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 357.92$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 343$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 251.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 238.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 225$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 23c | 219.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 51c | 205$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 29c | 204.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 199.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 191$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 179.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 25c | 174.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 163.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…cf68backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 129$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…6e30backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 27c | 122.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed No | 17c | 91.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 90.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 23c | 86.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…24c0backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 79c | 67.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 30c | 64.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 24c | 62.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 73c | 62.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 71c | 56.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 22c | 54.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 51.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 22c | 50.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 48.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 47.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 47.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 28c | 44.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 42.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4a25backed Yes | 28c | 42.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 30c | 41.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…6899backed Yes | 28c | 40.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.