TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes48c40,559$19,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,468.299159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c23,842$14,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,415.711,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes49c22,768$11,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,156.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes49c22,000$10,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,78020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c18,539$9,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,001.4221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No52c17,500$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No52c14,630$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No52c10,624$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.524940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes49c9,500$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6551631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No51c9,405$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c9,183$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c8,654$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.853231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3605156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes46c4,500$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07512050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes48c4,492$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.985538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes50c3,918$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes9c3,335$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No52c2,769$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.232544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c2,750$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.7987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes49c2,450$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes49c2,289$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes49c2,007$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,864$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.31,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes48c1,711$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.114841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes49c1,500$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7323333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c1,289$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.5238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes39c1,214$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked No52c1,118$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes48c1,002$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.82540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c1,000$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c928.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes44c899.12$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.614427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes49c883$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No52c819.23$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.232661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c737.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.345322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes8c661.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c631.96$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c606.25$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes7c560.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c518.89$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes48c432.56$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes48c394.95$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes17c377.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.072630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes50c350$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.58444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c330.6$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes9c320.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.068333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes25c294.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.816342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes49c272$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.289747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c246.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes49c234.34$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8313844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No52c214$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No52c193.6$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.933756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes50c181$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.311030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes9c177.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42b…4747backed Yes11c159.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes9c153.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x591f…a600backed Yes53c113.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Yes49c103.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes48c100.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.245064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes13c98.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes49c95.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.644537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa286…3395backed Yes54c92.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes49c90.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes48c90.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.432560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No46c89.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.592030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No51c77.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.753360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Yes49c77.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes49c76.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.587946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes48c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.482759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c74.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No52c73.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.