Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c1e7fb0d9103aa5ce016820eb5511aed0b822914dfdf42996e253f3c159053a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,454$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.9 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 1,060$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.97 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 20c | 991.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 52c | 985.68$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 957.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.47 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 18c | 734.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.74 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 637$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.67 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 19c | 585.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 38c | 571.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 20c | 511.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 59c | 467.5$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 406.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 11c | 399.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 53c | 365.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 54c | 363.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 15c | 325.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 266 | 19.5%52 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 15c | 308.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 279.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 10c | 263.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 18c | 250.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 13c | 229.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 11c | 203.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 11c | 200.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…2c47backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…61d1backed Yes | 52c | 179.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…a545backed No | 65c | 178.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…5d81backed Yes | 12c | 173.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 15c | 171.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 10c | 159.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bda3backed Yes | 50c | 158.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…305fbacked No | 50c | 158.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 35c | 153.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 139.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…24d9backed Yes | 51c | 137.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…44a4backed Yes | 8c | 125.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 14c | 120.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7075…0bf9backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…79ffbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…bbddbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…134cbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…5713backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…f3f2backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…42a7backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…027abacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…c4fdbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…2656backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…fbbebacked No | 51c | 119.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed No | 63c | 118.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…9f3fbacked Yes | 50c | 116.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed No | 51c | 111.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 15c | 110.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…dbdbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…6be3backed Yes | 15c | 102.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…0691backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 99.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…69febacked No | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked No | 44c | 93.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 43c | 90.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 37c | 82.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…3c1abacked Yes | 50c | 80.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…a317backed No | 49c | 78.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked No | 48c | 72.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 36c | 63.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…c4f3backed Yes | 34c | 59.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…6103backed Yes | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1456…edb2backed No | 35c | 53.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 52.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 49.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 30c | 46.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…583fbacked No | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 44c | 39.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 39c | 37.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e3…ca82backed Yes | 62c | 35.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 49c | 33.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…cf7ebacked No | 72c | 33.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 74c | 25.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 47c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.