Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb206ef5bd481fa80d79a4e13bcf5f78c6f9bd6805c9f0abafa8f8016b2d1f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f69…9bf5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 18c | 2,524$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.08 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 1,264$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 16c | 1,011$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 12c | 1,002$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 79c | 946.1$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 815.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 672.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 655.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…193dbacked Yes | 18c | 593.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 585.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 12c | 560$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 18c | 494.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 12c | 460.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 10c | 452.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…8814backed Yes | 24c | 420.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 12c | 399.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 344.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 318.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 292.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 15c | 285$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 10c | 273.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 11c | 222.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…44c4backed Yes | 6c | 219.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…47a8backed Yes | 16c | 219.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 22c | 217.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…4adbbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 16c | 212.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 10c | 198.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 22c | 184.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 15c | 167.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 167.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 11c | 156.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 145.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 14c | 120.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Yes | 18c | 112.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…49cdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…f842backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…ac93backed No | 78c | 82.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0732…59a4backed No | 79c | 82.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 78.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 25c | 71.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…d326backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…f1d8backed Yes | 22c | 51.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6db8backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed No | 77c | 47.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…78fbbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…45c6backed No | 75c | 28.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…a3bebacked No | 73c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 73c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.