Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff9c75de1f98b7f62079acaefde95cac735c575873a0cb5725102d94044a16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 71c | 945.97$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.08 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 12c | 781.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 74c | 740.01$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 678.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 15c | 666.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 585.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 31c | 515.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 439.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 28c | 434.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 7c | 413.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 5c | 375.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 5c | 304.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 10c | 299.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 26c | 278.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 235.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…ae4bbacked Yes | 26c | 232.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes | 25c | 202$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…eed0backed Yes | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…44a4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 191.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…ea0cbacked Yes | 26c | 155.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 25c | 142.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 55c | 127.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 55c | 120.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 71c | 119.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…de51backed Yes | 26c | 115.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…3425backed Yes | 26c | 113.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 101.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…4adbbacked Yes | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 29c | 99.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 28c | 99.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 26c | 97.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 23c | 93.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 87.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…f842backed Yes | 47c | 84.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…7c99backed No | 74c | 80.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…a91ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…e722backed Yes | 26c | 76.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…3212backed Yes | 25c | 68.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…1197backed No | 74c | 67.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…ed74backed No | 74c | 67.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…2366backed Yes | 26c | 63.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 62.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…a8c8backed Yes | 33c | 61.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…23cebacked Yes | 26c | 58.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…dff5backed Yes | 26c | 58.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…8e42backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…2504backed No | 74c | 53.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706e…dc1bbacked Yes | 36c | 52.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 36c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…9931backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…fdb8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…432dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab16…37b6backed No | 74c | 49.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed Yes | 30c | 49.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…4a3fbacked No | 74c | 47.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…01b9backed No | 74c | 47.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…9ea2backed No | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…97c5backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…cf4fbacked No | 74c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…30b0backed No | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…cef9backed No | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c07cbacked No | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…47a8backed Yes | 26c | 39.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…83a0backed No | 74c | 38.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…0ab0backed No | 74c | 37.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…1d7cbacked No | 74c | 36.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 46c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…ee03backed No | 74c | 33.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…b807backed Yes | 36c | 32.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…adfabacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…0afbbacked No | 65c | 28.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2886backed No | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…d482backed No | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…9a70backed No | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…a1f9backed No | 74c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…1b70backed No | 74c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…74a0backed No | 74c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…fc90backed No | 67c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.