Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe140a7169f73d0274c4561c7a1f59c4415a3e56e464836982fef1c9c04a568c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,071$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 3c | 2,634$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 7c | 1,483$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 16c | 885.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 10c | 763.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 710.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 678.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 16c | 644.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 585.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 9c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 9c | 347.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 25c | 271.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 5c | 269.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 9c | 222.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 10c | 174.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43aa…a6d2backed Yes | 9c | 151.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 20c | 123.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 119.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 21c | 115.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 108.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9100backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…2206backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 96.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…432dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8853backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…cc75backed Yes | 30c | 38.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…55b2backed Yes | 29c | 36.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…9416backed Yes | 33c | 32.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…2cefbacked No | 72c | 32.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…df30backed No | 74c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.