Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6052db5e1e3ce6a19becbd74d9baf6c52728e741d2a5d96608f980d71f22026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 4c | 6,961$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 6c | 6,299$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,647$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 63c | 2,777$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 77c | 2,147$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 69c | 2,138$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.65 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,907$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 40c | 1,544$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…d11cbacked No | 49c | 1,521$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…ee23backed Yes | 22c | 1,450$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 35c | 1,443$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…a875backed Yes | 54c | 1,367$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Yes | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 59c | 1,184$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed No | 74c | 1,122$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 60c | 1,070$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…2f78backed No | 61c | 1,030$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 71c | 1,025$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 37c | 999.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b23…76b4backed No | 64c | 998$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 22c | 864.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…5ccebacked Yes | 2c | 851.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…4c28backed Yes | 2c | 772.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 66c | 769.81$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 49c | 705.13$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe96…94d5backed Yes | 35c | 700$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 13c | 679.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…a82fbacked No | 76c | 600$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 32c | 514.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…aff5backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…fc39backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…55bebacked Yes | 46c | 426$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…a402backed Yes | 27c | 424.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…3955backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…b8dbbacked No | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +66%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…2f0fbacked No | 52c | 382.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…c212backed Yes | 33c | 378.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9ff6backed No | 79c | 377.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…deddbacked Yes | 24c | 350$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed Yes | 45c | 333.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…265ebacked Yes | 41c | 327.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 47c | 320.01$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…a5a9backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f09ebacked Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 295$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…5ef1backed Yes | 28c | 271.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed No | 45c | 230.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab34…a18abacked Yes | 21c | 229.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…3310backed Yes | 53c | 226.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf979…1c70backed Yes | 32c | 225.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked No | 44c | 224.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…b49abacked Yes | 53c | 216.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 214.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…03a2backed Yes | 32c | 209.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…7ec2backed Yes | 55c | 208.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…9759backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 41c | 195.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 40c | 193.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…c7c7backed Yes | 42c | 189.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked No | 80c | 187.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Yes | 40c | 185.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 60c | 170.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 16c | 157.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 57c | 157.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…41c9backed Yes | 40c | 150.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…0329backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked Yes | 48c | 145.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…6550backed Yes | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…cf64backed Yes | 11c | 139.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…c744backed No | 74c | 139.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…af7bbacked No | 55c | 135.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…c51bbacked No | 80c | 123.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…561dbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…d394backed No | 80c | 111.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…b012backed Yes | 45c | 110.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…17c2backed Yes | 53c | 100.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…4bcfbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80a…f768backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…bd4fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…097ebacked Yes | 43c | 91.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…eab2backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…7c0fbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 in November?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.