TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Murray State Racers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Murray State Racers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea22…747abacked Murray State Racers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Murray State Racers65c2,640$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.891,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Murray State Racers65c2,459$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.3518349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Murray State Racers7c1,509$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c1,352$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.542,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Northern Iowa Panthers58c1,278$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7924444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Northern Iowa Panthers62c1,173$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c1,065$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Murray State Racers45c1,042$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.492,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Murray State Racers5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Murray State Racers25c945.88$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Murray State Racers48c932.24$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c884.2$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Murray State Racers50c706.86$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.161,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers64c692.64$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northern Iowa Panthers33c594.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.782,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Northern Iowa Panthers34c571.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Northern Iowa Panthers34c525$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Murray State Racers67c520.54$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Murray State Racers41c516.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.283,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Murray State Racers30c500$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Murray State Racers63c470$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.137142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c469.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Murray State Racers51c419.89$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Northern Iowa Panthers34c406.59$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.351,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Northern Iowa Panthers37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25256444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Iowa Panthers74c345$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.992,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Northern Iowa Panthers34c323.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.197343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Murray State Racers67c298.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7113743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Iowa Panthers31c276.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Northern Iowa Panthers37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.277454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd3…47b6backed Murray State Racers6c227.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Murray State Racers42c215.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers59c206$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Murray State Racers66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13214151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northern Iowa Panthers66c197.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.431,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…0821backed Northern Iowa Panthers61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.724228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers62c161.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.43174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1418851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Northern Iowa Panthers37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1417950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers37c127.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4424340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Murray State Racers69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers41c118$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Murray State Racers66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Murray State Racers40c108.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murray State Racers14c106.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Northern Iowa Panthers36c102$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Northern Iowa Panthers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers37c99.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Murray State Racers62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Iowa Panthers73c79.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Murray State Racers63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5afa…3dd1backed Murray State Racers70c78.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Murray State Racers26c77.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2419138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Murray State Racers54c73.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Murray State Racers67c71.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers63c69.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.631,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murray State Racers69c65.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Northern Iowa Panthers31c64.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Iowa Panthers32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…e0bcbacked Murray State Racers67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Murray State Racers69c50.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Northern Iowa Panthers34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Murray State Racers64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Murray State Racers64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Murray State Racers70c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd676…4c79backed Murray State Racers70c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed Murray State Racers64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…6d59backed Northern Iowa Panthers31c46.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Northern Iowa Panthers56c45.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Murray State Racers42c41.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6813350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Northern Iowa Panthers31c40.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.742030%6 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers33c33.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1619332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers31c32.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7617634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc483…64d0backed Northern Iowa Panthers37c32.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c1e…6cb8backed Murray State Racers64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb82…5461backed Murray State Racers64c30.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Northern Iowa Panthers37c30.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0922730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Northern Iowa Panthers51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Northern Iowa Panthers41c29.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Northern Iowa Panthers73c29.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8374…c122backed Northern Iowa Panthers66c28.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56a…a946backed Murray State Racers64c27.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed Murray State Racers67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Northern Iowa Panthers72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.610095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x11a5…997dbacked Murray State Racers66c18.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Murray State Racers64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.