Music · resolved market
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947d1021c37d975fb9a2f81d9b7da2579dd6cbf18d9c1e147e7a8f95480cd01a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 0c | 36,110$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 33c | 26,433$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,750.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 38c | 25,380$9,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,842.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 65c | 20,243$13,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,176.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 32c | 16,673$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,406.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…2560backed Yes | 1c | 13,842$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes | 62c | 13,667$8,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,473.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 10,065$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…fb57backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 66c | 9,188$6,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,076.28 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8b44backed Yes | 61c | 8,684$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…4dd0backed Yes | 3c | 8,432$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…b524backed Yes | 1c | 5,736$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f3ffbacked Yes | 1c | 4,341$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,753$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 45c | 3,666$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…5202backed No | 8c | 3,483$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,899.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 78c | 3,325$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…4518backed Yes | 1c | 3,284$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 51c | 3,191$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,577$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 80c | 2,389$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 77c | 2,271$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 72c | 2,182$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,125$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,558$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…fb13backed Yes | 4c | 1,482$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,461$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…519abacked Yes | 13c | 1,428$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 74c | 1,234$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 2c | 1,230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 79c | 1,208$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 1c | 1,179$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa3…538dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,161$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 52c | 1,040$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 21c | 981.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 73c | 976.75$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 78c | 903.47$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 54c | 891.97$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 51c | 888$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 78c | 822.06$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 7c | 816$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.92 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 35c | 800$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 30c | 769.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 768.18$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 61c | 766.74$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 17c | 753$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 736.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.31 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 66c | 650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 66c | 638$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 43c | 636.77$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 633.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 33c | 600$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 74c | 586.71$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 16c | 585.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 18c | 576.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 34c | 543.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 23c | 505.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 65c | 489.93$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 72c | 477.63$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 78c | 455.55$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaf…0172backed Yes | 66c | 444$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 75c | 432.3$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 18c | 427.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 61c | 423.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 8c | 400$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 389.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…8e79backed Yes | 57c | 373.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…d94fbacked No | 42c | 358.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…6eb3backed Yes | 19c | 307.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 41c | 301.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…6df3backed Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 13c | 269.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 10c | 267.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed No | 8c | 256.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,182.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 26cpaid | +383%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…d0a2backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c4…43c9backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 58c | 242$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 234.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 231$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 14c | 229.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 29c | 228.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 225.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 62c | 210.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 8c | 208.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…e39abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…e72fbacked No | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…84d6backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?this page
- Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Eminem be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.