TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a9…9e88backed Yes9c80,123$6,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,820.8170%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcce…3e55backed Yes7c23,748$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b0…5c7ebacked Yes12c23,635$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes9c15,104$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.769545.3%43 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes3c15,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e7…2e1abacked Yes13c7,515$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…c5b5backed Yes5c7,173$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa268…d60bbacked Yes9c5,529$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437f…70acbacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Yes11c5,000$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255f…3c68backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b05…5369backed Yes10c3,495$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes6c3,050$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.463910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9a…3b3ebacked Yes4c3,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes7c3,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55a…0c7fbacked Yes7c2,821$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4319…05febacked Yes1c2,538$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7e40backed Yes26c2,331$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c2,260$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.662781.8%5 W · 273 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Yes10c2,191$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf709…b79abacked Yes15c2,180$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Yes13c1,965$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d7…13e2backed Yes15c1,945$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…9cdabacked Yes9c1,913$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd677…0f67backed Yes7c1,795$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes8c1,731$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.78901.1%1 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick6cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b62…fe5abacked Yes15c1,648$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d9…38a3backed Yes26c1,624$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8610…a249backed Yes16c1,575$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf966…86e7backed Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…0b6dbacked Yes7c1,409$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6228…7a9dbacked Yes7c1,337$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fff…c9f1backed Yes5c1,333$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c1,291$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9948414%68 W · 416 L-39.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x458e…51b4backed Yes10c1,283$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes6c1,280$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes12c1,266$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9110632.1%34 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes7c1,198$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.411164.3%5 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ca…bcbdbacked Yes11c1,070$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Yes29c1,054$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…e6f3backed No74c1,051$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,010$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.111,3948%111 W · 1,283 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd891…b2b9backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18fe…1c35backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed No78c936.1$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-61.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed Yes11c923.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes8c903.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.982042.9%6 W · 198 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes8c803.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.15618.2%5 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick9cpaid+61.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c793.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8317010%17 W · 153 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0270…0a6abacked Yes14c766.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x998f…e26abacked Yes22c728.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes8c700$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes8c586.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31934.3%4 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfb…359fbacked Yes3c540.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e5…24babacked Yes6c536.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b4…0139backed Yes27c529$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.831010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-86.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dc…f83ebacked Yes9c520$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes7c511.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.33280%0 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e6…380cbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No79c466.64$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2513650%68 W · 68 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb148…e7e1backed Yes10c460$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab2…2517backed Yes5c455.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043e…e83abacked Yes5c413.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1d…8d17backed Yes11c401.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa052…b07cbacked Yes10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes7c362.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.662236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6880…9467backed Yes9c337.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8425…be0abacked Yes5c324.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6f…7d62backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4967…32a5backed Yes9c292.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…a47ebacked No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2f…5cb9backed Yes5c206.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124650%23 W · 23 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22013.5%7 W · 194 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.1%4 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe863…a8b4backed Yes8c198.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No71c159.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.761,21817.8%217 W · 1,001 L-124.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24d6…576fbacked Yes17c157.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe510…b0f0backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…74dfbacked No69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…5c48backed Yes13c109.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781b…e126backed Yes10c102.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d5…1945backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72a…f448backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No76c67.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0920668.9%142 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8b…0c13backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc6…22a3backed Yes50c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc8…0d99backed No80c39.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee27…370ebacked No68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.