Movies · resolved market
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27aa59a2326c0e145f98adf5076e83d7825fff69943f7ef84d530b822a129247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed No | 9c | 59,434$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 8c | 51,890$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…5c7ebacked No | 10c | 24,820$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 3c | 15,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…a8b4backed No | 9c | 13,444$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 7c | 10,706$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…c5b5backed No | 3c | 9,506$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…70acbacked No | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…380cbacked No | 7c | 4,317$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 3,651$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 7c | 2,709$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…c8dcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,615$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…13e2backed No | 12c | 2,589$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked No | 14c | 2,536$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 2,445$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 7c | 2,322$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…b79abacked No | 15c | 2,289$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 1,968$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 1,826$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…371abacked Yes | 73c | 1,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 1,761$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 8c | 1,710$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…c77cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,528$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 8c | 1,506$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 8c | 1,491$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 1,451$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…fe5abacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…6f4abacked Yes | 72c | 1,403$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 8c | 1,391$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…65c3backed Yes | 74c | 1,359$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30d…b36fbacked No | 8c | 1,301$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 20c | 1,219$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 7c | 1,037$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…f208backed No | 18c | 1,012$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 1,006$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…43e9backed No | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked No | 5c | 911.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed No | 11c | 906.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…f721backed No | 6c | 851.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…426ebacked No | 12c | 802.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked No | 4c | 700.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…bcbdbacked No | 8c | 699.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 684.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…d3e5backed No | 5c | 649.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…0139backed Yes | 74c | 629.44$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 470.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 7c | 430.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…e83abacked No | 5c | 425.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 14c | 352.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfe…50c1backed Yes | 79c | 286.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc06…5e19backed Yes | 78c | 281.81$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…e26abacked No | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 11c | 244.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…7d62backed No | 14c | 240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…51b4backed No | 8c | 215.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 6c | 203.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed No | 29c | 138.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…e095backed Yes | 74c | 127.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…a160backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…e389backed Yes | 72c | 71.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…f8f3backed Yes | 80c | 56.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…d416backed Yes | 73c | 42.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…0d99backed Yes | 80c | 23.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 73c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 71c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 74c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…0899backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?this page
- Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.