TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc06…5e19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.16
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+265%+$1,384.59
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.31
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.13
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$54.71
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$66.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.29
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$45.52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+460.7%+$49.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$336.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$103.7
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$28.05
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+123.6%+$185.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.4%+$127.76
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$28.52
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$251.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$76.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.8%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.