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World Politics · resolved market

Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,296,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,311,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,296,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5005…d015backed Yes2c55,520$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238a…a504backed Yes1c38,799$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.531330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+245.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f9b…7be4backed Yes6c10,874$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+100.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes7c10,273$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8220538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe3…ded8backed Yes2c10,160$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa847…88a5backed Yes1c10,092$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.62234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-87%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c9,474$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.694440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6925…e21cbacked Yes1c9,031$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…24eebacked Yes1c7,914$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes0c7,117$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86583.4%2 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes6c6,884$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.696726.9%18 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb94f…53ecbacked Yes5c6,166$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.87714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…0088backed Yes1c5,687$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…0217backed Yes7c5,677$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c5,275$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.431691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbd…fb4abacked Yes3c5,150$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,055$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.491,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0092…0180backed Yes1c4,836$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.04540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+366.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc82…edc8backed Yes3c4,597$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c4,579$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.616883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…04f3backed Yes4c4,105$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ff…0876backed Yes3c4,045$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78a4…824bbacked Yes5c3,915$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8d…a40fbacked Yes4c3,914$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c3…bbbcbacked Yes3c3,667$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…d01cbacked Yes3c3,640$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c2…2d69backed Yes3c3,577$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…fdfcbacked Yes4c3,548$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb62…60fcbacked Yes4c3,435$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…9f3bbacked Yes2c3,397$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes4c3,363$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.661030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes8c3,164$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.531315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…cab2backed Yes5c3,149$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe473…b468backed Yes3c3,148$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141d…8564backed Yes4c3,140$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b25…65e3backed Yes3c3,130$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d0…d7cdbacked Yes4c3,117$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca2…3097backed Yes7c3,078$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04de…7729backed Yes3c3,071$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aba…ee0cbacked Yes3c3,067$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79bc…5476backed Yes4c3,048$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,182.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf113…c2ebbacked Yes5c3,039$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb108…1585backed Yes4c3,008$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc989…dcb3backed Yes3c2,977$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da7…6572backed Yes5c2,940$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca3…dbb3backed Yes2c2,928$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e29…48e4backed Yes4c2,890$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68a…0487backed Yes3c2,890$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98b…5596backed Yes3c2,856$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf6…babcbacked Yes4c2,847$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4832…3c2bbacked Yes3c2,720$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x636c…1cc3backed Yes3c2,714$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x518a…e507backed Yes5c2,641$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00b0…3ffcbacked Yes3c2,634$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…f9d0backed Yes4c2,607$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed49…4619backed Yes4c2,604$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a5f…c06dbacked Yes4c2,601$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…2996backed Yes3c2,585$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283c…9b6cbacked Yes3c2,568$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe978…a454backed Yes6c2,562$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8df…cfdebacked Yes4c2,521$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b8…d102backed Yes4c2,510$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae8…b915backed Yes4c2,503$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17f…3cf3backed Yes4c2,486$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6151…1678backed Yes3c2,439$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fd…6026backed Yes5c2,431$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845c…4800backed Yes4c2,391$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…b2e3backed Yes4c2,353$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…2763backed Yes3c2,340$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9399…7de9backed Yes3c2,322$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb158…d295backed Yes4c2,313$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…0a14backed Yes3c2,310$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…d7bebacked Yes4c2,306$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5321…32adbacked Yes4c2,262$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a1…bb00backed Yes7c2,234$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1047…9e39backed Yes3c2,214$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f1…fd2abacked Yes3c2,214$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2a…0773backed Yes7c2,135$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd196…e037backed Yes4c2,100$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2486…016fbacked Yes4c2,072$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+713%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…2c5abacked Yes4c2,027$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…4ef3backed Yes1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747c…fe9fbacked Yes4c1,987$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4621…247abacked Yes3c1,937$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cd…8722backed Yes4c1,922$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…dfadbacked Yes4c1,916$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986a…61d0backed Yes3c1,914$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes11c1,911$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.718330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc6…dbf1backed Yes4c1,907$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…668bbacked Yes6c1,906$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b27…631dbacked Yes4c1,889$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes3c1,878$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.742543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8d…f378backed Yes7c1,870$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2427…807dbacked Yes4c1,863$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…3171backed Yes4c1,859$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8a…6933backed Yes7c1,845$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda7b…6a04backed Yes4c1,836$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057c…0306backed Yes5c1,798$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x952e…2288backed Yes4c1,771$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f0a…3364backed Yes4c1,762$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.