World Politics · resolved market
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5f534d4598af5b651d5e09fe5a30f4ff6949608125868ec7f2ae4c2f2d30e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 44,992$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,977$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 19,736$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…36acbacked Yes | 0c | 15,683$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 0c | 15,148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 11,308$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Yes | 0c | 7,287$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…3b79backed Yes | 0c | 7,287$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…09a4backed Yes | 0c | 7,093$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,397$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…04bcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…4977backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…589bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,949$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…4158backed Yes | 0c | 4,949$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 4,557$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…41ebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,393$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…6d90backed Yes | 0c | 3,628$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cff8backed Yes | 0c | 3,628$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,628$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,398$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…0407backed Yes | 0c | 2,993$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 0c | 2,983$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Yes | 0c | 2,973$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 2c | 652$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?this page
- Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No won
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes won
- Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No won
- Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.