TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$792,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$778,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x238a…a504backed No1c29,899$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.091330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+245.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x543e…8884backed No4c24,037$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.07616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5848…38c0backed No6c17,996$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5005…d015backed No1c17,933$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No3c15,376$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.934431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa847…88a5backed No1c15,192$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.07234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-87%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No9c13,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9920538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No0c11,630$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5235258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c10,110$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.194440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c6,420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.131691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c5,023$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.941,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…0088backed No2c5,009$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed No2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No2c4,860$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.345932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No3c4,015$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.233710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No3c3,413$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…a18ebacked No5c3,404$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d8…bdcfbacked No8c3,361$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No4c3,261$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.842543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09cb…3fb4backed No5c3,203$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb645…fbd7backed No5c3,181$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb3…b8f5backed No5c3,023$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f12…2f31backed No5c2,976$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x179c…6c4ebacked No5c2,974$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d7…3463backed No4c2,926$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002c…4167backed No4c2,900$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No4c2,830$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.012117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e4…c128backed No4c2,743$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…99afbacked No5c2,740$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683f…27dbbacked No5c2,687$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382b…7769backed No5c2,651$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…ee82backed No5c2,646$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No7c2,566$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.346883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…ed69backed No5c2,541$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265c…7e6bbacked No5c2,455$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed No2c2,387$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.711357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No3c2,371$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.295817.2%10 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No1c2,302$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0218628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…cab2backed No5c2,295$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…3b63backed No5c2,267$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.74520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+387.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked No2c2,257$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca3…dbb3backed No3c2,257$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2040backed No5c2,159$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…b8f9backed No2c2,105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c8…2b76backed No7c2,082$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7df…c3edbacked No5c2,060$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed No1c2,003$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe14f…f1cfbacked No5c1,966$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,215.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x628a…2971backed No5c1,955$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…d7bebacked No5c1,940$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084a…f750backed No4c1,938$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5b…717abacked No5c1,919$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f30…996bbacked No7c1,885$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8118…4022backed No5c1,868$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…f054backed No5c1,861$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3897…ea4bbacked No5c1,712$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29d…6601backed No5c1,709$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd22…33b1backed No5c1,676$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No1c1,647$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0934354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6928…8c29backed No5c1,626$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+531.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04da…98b6backed No8c1,598$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba9…57febacked No5c1,505$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No4c1,458$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9524110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No6c1,451$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.972344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ce…0716backed No2c1,425$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d30…33c8backed No5c1,398$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,215.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d0…d7cdbacked No3c1,357$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…2703backed No7c1,350$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96a9…a14bbacked No5c1,330$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4f…038ebacked No5c1,326$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No6c1,273$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4332255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…8403backed No7c1,238$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bd…2033backed No5c1,224$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4beb…52a0backed No4c1,208$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6469…b29bbacked No5c1,166$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+777.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x766a…f2bcbacked No7c1,166$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13df…ec0fbacked No2c1,135$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…5afcbacked No6c1,130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9693…8c29backed No5c1,119$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae38…829fbacked No8c1,112$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea7…1a03backed No5c1,103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5722…1658backed No5c1,088$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No2c1,077$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1539952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163c…e356backed No8c1,074$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc361…1627backed No5c1,067$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf541…cad8backed No5c1,059$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+777.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c02…fc66backed No5c1,057$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed No4c1,041$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff1…67a0backed No5c1,005$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af2…c32ebacked No6c999$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a613backed No5c968$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e29…48e4backed No5c954$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc23…8a66backed No8c954$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1860%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No5c953.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.410646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395c…46bebacked No5c945$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42e…e152backed No2c937.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+336.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d73…bfdabacked No7c937$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No9c885.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.369418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f1…65f8backed No5c869$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4202…1bb0backed No7c865$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.