South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253ab6f3f6d5aa902f249f50a5b320ea6c80ffa17cf9569ffb5ca885c29dbc46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,865 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 11c | 11,951$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 13c | 4,458$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.4 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 1,780$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 1,293$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 862.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 17c | 814$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 15c | 630.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 14c | 628.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 16c | 559.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked No | 17c | 476.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 18c | 463.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 21c | 459.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Yes | 79c | 358.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 17c | 342.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 14c | 332.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked No | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 16c | 274.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 231.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 209.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 16c | 187.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed No | 17c | 156.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 149.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 19c | 141.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 80c | 141.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 76c | 128.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 126.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 20c | 124.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 16c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…92d4backed No | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…dbadbacked No | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…f037backed No | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…2305backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 16c | 83.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…a019backed No | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked No | 16c | 66.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 19c | 55.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Yes | 80c | 28.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 77c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?No won
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.