TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Villanova Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Villanova Wildcatsof Marquette Golden Eagles, Villanova Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles49c9,398$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,636.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Marquette Golden Eagles51c5,034$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Villanova Wildcats50c4,880$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.91,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Marquette Golden Eagles16c2,959$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Villanova Wildcats51c2,320$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Villanova Wildcats66c1,752$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles19c1,655$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.451,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Villanova Wildcats53c1,578$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.312941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles4c1,532$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.362,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Villanova Wildcats64c1,433$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.31,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Marquette Golden Eagles6c1,429$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.452,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marquette Golden Eagles33c1,373$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.914,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles49c1,322$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.561,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Villanova Wildcats52c1,200$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.771,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles17c1,196$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Marquette Golden Eagles47c1,136$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.7299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c1,112$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.266940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Marquette Golden Eagles2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Villanova Wildcats36c999.5$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.664742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Villanova Wildcats54c800.6$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.21,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c631.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Villanova Wildcats74c539.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.994035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanova Wildcats56c514$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.941,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Villanova Wildcats53c490$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.41,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Villanova Wildcats42c481.68$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.751,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles35c449.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.935,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Marquette Golden Eagles48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Villanova Wildcats61c335.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Marquette Golden Eagles50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Villanova Wildcats78c311$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.681,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Marquette Golden Eagles40c309$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0919138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Villanova Wildcats53c270$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles15c264.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Marquette Golden Eagles21c246.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7812617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles17c239.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Villanova Wildcats54c214.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.033,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Marquette Golden Eagles16c209.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c202.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9518230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Villanova Wildcats73c202.07$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Villanova Wildcats55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marquette Golden Eagles17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles20c173.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Marquette Golden Eagles18c163$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3435650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Villanova Wildcats48c159.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8314062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Marquette Golden Eagles18c144$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Villanova Wildcats60c142.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.083,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Villanova Wildcats71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marquette Golden Eagles33c140.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.391,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Villanova Wildcats63c138.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.177247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Villanova Wildcats76c132.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.318362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aed…37c0backed Villanova Wildcats38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c117.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9925230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Marquette Golden Eagles18c105.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6142339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe570…e821backed Marquette Golden Eagles48c104.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Villanova Wildcats70c100.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.547754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Villanova Wildcats52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Villanova Wildcats54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Marquette Golden Eagles71c90.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles45c83.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be4…9bf6backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles23c78.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.855637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Marquette Golden Eagles25c78.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Villanova Wildcats31c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4812540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Villanova Wildcats65c74.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.161,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Marquette Golden Eagles17c73.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.282030%6 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Marquette Golden Eagles19c72.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Villanova Wildcats60c67.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.169264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Villanova Wildcats56c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.66154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Villanova Wildcats75c57.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4151…7283backed Marquette Golden Eagles48c52.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Villanova Wildcats54c51.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9813350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Villanova Wildcats78c50.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1710259.8%61 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Marquette Golden Eagles50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8130945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Villanova Wildcats45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Villanova Wildcats59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2512537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Villanova Wildcats51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Villanova Wildcats52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Villanova Wildcats60c36.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Marquette Golden Eagles45c33.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc840…9cf6backed Villanova Wildcats52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Villanova Wildcats74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0318167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Villanova Wildcats56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.622,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Villanova Wildcats75c21.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.255752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Villanova Wildcats76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Villanova Wildcats67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.