Us Politics · resolved market
Trump out as President by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9ee9c25abd5b966088767214c22dcf3ad1c72548e9a1dbef9d4328c170e5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,448,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,126,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,448,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 669 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x312e…8604backed Yes | 1c | 1,345,869$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…eda0backed Yes | 0c | 843,119$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…59d9backed Yes | 1c | 490,713$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…4c55backed Yes | 3c | 392,588$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…f2c8backed Yes | 1c | 379,294$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 4c | 270,030$11,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,434.74 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…e812backed Yes | 3c | 203,416$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 189,589$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803d…135dbacked Yes | 3c | 170,724$4,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,866.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 1c | 150,308$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe810…8fc5backed Yes | 2c | 138,010$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd8…8e08backed Yes | 2c | 130,652$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…3b53backed Yes | 1c | 125,261$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…91c9backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…fe65backed Yes | 1c | 117,266$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 101,841$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0519backed Yes | 1c | 88,251$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…6c32backed Yes | 2c | 85,635$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…92ffbacked Yes | 1c | 80,846$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +252.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…6af7backed Yes | 3c | 78,301$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 73,897$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.19 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154a…08c6backed Yes | 2c | 68,739$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…0819backed Yes | 0c | 67,393$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…df0abacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 56,919$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.57 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 56,564$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.54 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,131$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…299bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Yes | 2c | 50,359$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b17ebacked Yes | 2c | 48,000$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…4264backed Yes | 3c | 47,567$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5d…0ee8backed Yes | 5c | 44,761$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 43,617$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.4 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fce…e044backed Yes | 2c | 42,279$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…9785backed Yes | 2c | 41,993$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a4a2backed Yes | 1c | 41,716$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…3b6dbacked Yes | 1c | 39,367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…26dfbacked Yes | 0c | 38,498$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…5b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 36,938$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…89c9backed Yes | 14c | 36,078$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…9ae9backed Yes | 2c | 34,355$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…0accbacked Yes | 1c | 33,920$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 4c | 31,707$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 6cpaid | +798.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 2c | 30,234$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…887abacked Yes | 4c | 28,803$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 2c | 28,582$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 28,116$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 27,563$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.35 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 4c | 26,735$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 3c | 26,669$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 25,358$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.45 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed Yes | 3c | 25,229$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…64f7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked Yes | 4c | 24,481$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 2c | 24,337$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8775backed Yes | 1c | 24,008$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…f69ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,996$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 23,446$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.03 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 3c | 23,011$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.29 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…a31bbacked Yes | 1c | 22,690$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…bb26backed Yes | 3c | 21,888$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…1e44backed Yes | 4c | 21,410$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 3c | 20,492$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 20,137$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…ca49backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…6d1bbacked Yes | 3c | 18,794$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 17,751$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…2664backed Yes | 3c | 17,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed Yes | 6c | 16,772$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…ae34backed Yes | 1c | 16,704$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…eb60backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 5c | 16,149$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…c1bdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,900$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,784$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…9aa3backed Yes | 0c | 15,440$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…ac2bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,147$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 14,714$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.93 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2d91backed Yes | 3c | 14,324$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 14,057$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…4d43backed Yes | 1c | 14,052$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…81bcbacked Yes | 1c | 14,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…0a23backed Yes | 2c | 13,437$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…2de4backed Yes | 1c | 13,234$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 12,894$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…9bfbbacked Yes | 3c | 12,453$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 12,407$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.41 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 12,241$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.33 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…51b7backed Yes | 3c | 12,239$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 12,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…7651backed Yes | 3c | 11,800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 5c | 11,495$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…f9debacked Yes | 2c | 11,053$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…27edbacked Yes | 2c | 11,002$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…7ae2backed Yes | 0c | 10,750$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 4c | 10,743$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 2c | 10,698$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…97eabacked Yes | 0c | 10,640$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…ad05backed Yes | 3c | 10,067$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.