TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Yale Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Howard Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Yale Bulldogs74c19,868$14,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.2389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Howard Bison26c12,500$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,27590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Howard Bison25c9,925$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.255349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yale Bulldogs74c7,770$5,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.521,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yale Bulldogs73c5,942$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.291,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Howard Bison24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Howard Bison23c2,944$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1274051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Howard Bison36c2,907$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.281,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Howard Bison25c2,660$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.2474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Howard Bison22c2,278$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Howard Bison48c2,073$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Yale Bulldogs54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Howard Bison22c1,941$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yale Bulldogs67c1,916$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.411,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yale Bulldogs78c1,864$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.381,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yale Bulldogs77c1,796$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.22,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Yale Bulldogs75c1,765$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yale Bulldogs65c1,702$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.681,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs73c1,608$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.843,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yale Bulldogs69c1,470$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.91,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yale Bulldogs79c1,306$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Howard Bison2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Howard Bison33c961.84$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Yale Bulldogs75c821.53$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Howard Bison27c687.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7110753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs68c680.74$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.391,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Howard Bison20c602.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.671,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Howard Bison26c577.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Howard Bison35c509$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Yale Bulldogs67c482$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Yale Bulldogs76c436.1$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Yale Bulldogs74c410$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Yale Bulldogs80c407$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed Howard Bison24c387.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Howard Bison24c350$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Howard Bison52c347.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.93,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Howard Bison28c327.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.271,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yale Bulldogs20c314.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5925325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yale Bulldogs77c298.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Howard Bison56c267.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.912,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yale Bulldogs35c263.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.613,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yale Bulldogs66c256.82$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Yale Bulldogs63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9225254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yale Bulldogs77c238.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Howard Bison26c228.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5419641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Howard Bison22c218.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Howard Bison22c212.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd843…757abacked Yale Bulldogs74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.77100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yale Bulldogs62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.677252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Yale Bulldogs19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.96743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b5…0821backed Howard Bison22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Howard Bison27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yale Bulldogs72c149.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Howard Bison58c146.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.511,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yale Bulldogs54c138$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4822157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98fe…a984backed Yale Bulldogs75c125.47$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Howard Bison41c118.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.271,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Howard Bison26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Howard Bison21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9525436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Howard Bison22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Howard Bison23c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82030%6 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Howard Bison18c86.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yale Bulldogs57c83.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yale Bulldogs76c81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yale Bulldogs48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.611,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Howard Bison22c68.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df1…799abacked Howard Bison34c66.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…6d59backed Yale Bulldogs77c63.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Howard Bison24c63.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.111,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yale Bulldogs41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.988737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Howard Bison26c60.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0622730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Howard Bison21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yale Bulldogs35c56.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Howard Bison53c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Howard Bison28c55.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f7…21b8backed Yale Bulldogs19c51.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Yale Bulldogs74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Howard Bison28c49.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9821651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Howard Bison21c49.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Howard Bison21c47.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0817634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Yale Bulldogs74c47.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…503bbacked Yale Bulldogs77c46.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Howard Bison26c43.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Yale Bulldogs77c41.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.634987.8%43 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed Yale Bulldogs79c39.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41681.3%13 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Yale Bulldogs47c39.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Howard Bison47c34.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Yale Bulldogs56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.526154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Yale Bulldogs77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.935650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Yale Bulldogs51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.744146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yale Bulldogs50c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.527844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Yale Bulldogs79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yale Bulldogs71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.336657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yale Bulldogs66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yale Bulldogs75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Yale Bulldogs74c15.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.013786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yale Bulldogs74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.642,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecb…2861backed Yale Bulldogs80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.