Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e00a53c433b65cc4e15af81bbe3f3bc42be822adfe780dff9045e540e32279

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: USAof USA, Germany
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $807,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $795,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,486 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Olympics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Germany	10c	105,280$10,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,434.04	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Germany	10c	84,604$8,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,094.02	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Germany	10c	60,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.98	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Germany	10c	54,040$5,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,404	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Germany	8c	32,430$2,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,603.46	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Germany	10c	26,500$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Germany	9c	25,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Germany	10c	25,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Germany	9c	18,763$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Germany	10c	17,808$1,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Germany	8c	16,468$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Germany	9c	13,520$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.59	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	28cpaid	-89.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Germany	1c	12,000$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Germany	0c	11,515$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	3c	10,740$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.62	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Germany	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Germany	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Germany	7c	8,763$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.54	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Germany	9c	6,548$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Germany	9c	5,908$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.72	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Germany	7c	5,492$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.47	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Germany	10c	5,309$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.59	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Germany	9c	5,210$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.05	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Germany	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Germany	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Germany	1c	4,906$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	244	8.2%20 W · 224 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Germany	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d0…3182backed Germany	9c	3,689$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2907…9c3fbacked Germany	6c	3,479$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.4	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Germany	10c	3,380$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Germany	10c	3,360$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Germany	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Germany	9c	2,622$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Germany	9c	2,546$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.67	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Germany	8c	2,416$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.72	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Germany	11c	2,250$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4556…54c1backed Germany	11c	2,230$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Germany	3c	2,214$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.93	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Germany	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Germany	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Germany	9c	1,653$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.77	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Germany	5c	1,642$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-6.1wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Germany	8c	1,620$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Germany	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed Germany	11c	1,467$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a55…ffaabacked Germany	9c	1,307$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Germany	10c	1,259$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Germany	1c	1,213$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff30…80adbacked Germany	10c	1,095$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Germany	9c	1,071$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	63	0%0 W · 63 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Germany	10c	1,043$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.34	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Germany	10c	1,040$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Germany	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Germany	8c	990$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e03…c1c8backed Germany	10c	908.85$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.62	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Germany	9c	907.33$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.09	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Germany	10c	885$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Germany	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Germany	8c	636.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Germany	5c	617.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Germany	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Germany	11c	593.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Germany	10c	580$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2516…a983backed Germany	10c	550$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Germany	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Germany	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Germany	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b1…33aabacked Germany	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Germany	10c	450$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Germany	10c	425$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Germany	10c	423.67$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc7…d799backed Germany	11c	410$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410e…1209backed Germany	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Germany	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d10…48d0backed Germany	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Germany	10c	379.5$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68fb…c058backed Germany	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f0…25aebacked Germany	11c	345$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6e…1156backed Germany	6c	333$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Germany	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Germany	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc030…22e4backed Germany	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Germany	10c	282.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Germany	10c	280$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Germany	10c	261.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Germany	4c	241$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Germany	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Germany	7c	231.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Germany	9c	231$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Germany	5c	209$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-4.9wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Germany	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Germany	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Germany	8c	199.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Germany	10c	192$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1e…93ecbacked Germany	9c	184$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Germany	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Germany	10c	168.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb59…f802backed Germany	9c	167.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Germany	11c	154$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market