Movies · resolved market
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5593eef656440aa96516da0473f9b1a790b12c8aabc7043b816e69be6f94ccf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 77c | 3,175$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed No | 13c | 2,506$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed No | 12c | 1,043$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked No | 14c | 999.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…13d5backed No | 9c | 859.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 15c | 776.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 15c | 766.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…62dabacked No | 29c | 766.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 29c | 667$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 630.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 11c | 532.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 15c | 506.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…319bbacked No | 11c | 465.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 398.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 5c | 379.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…3830backed Yes | 73c | 358.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 352.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…6217backed No | 11c | 345.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…55d2backed Yes | 70c | 300.63$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 225.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 6c | 203.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd6…2d0cbacked No | 17c | 188.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 176$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…8a32backed Yes | 50c | 174.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 9c | 165.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 60c | 160$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 71c | 155.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed No | 10c | 104.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 21c | 89.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd5…7783backed Yes | 78c | 86.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…0c0abacked Yes | 78c | 69.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…7e28backed No | 27c | 68.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 50c | 66.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…c38fbacked Yes | 60c | 62.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…9c2ebacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 21c | 49.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…b2c6backed Yes | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…2b4ebacked Yes | 61c | 40.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…55b1backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 46c | 35.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…0471backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…022dbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 79c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…b18fbacked Yes | 72c | 23.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…4cccbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…8321backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…4fcdbacked Yes | 68c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)this page
- Will “Boots: Season 1” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)No won
- Will “Marines” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)No won
- Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)No won
- Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.