Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda54d98f905b7753391d62d4d687c4a43cc67653d1f5967fd68afca83fc590cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,959$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…7e69backed No | 70c | 6,528$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 51c | 2,210$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.58 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 64c | 2,084$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked Yes | 59c | 1,719$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 29c | 1,666$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.48 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,520$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 41c | 1,484$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.8 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 38c | 1,415$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.94 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 41c | 1,325$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 58c | 1,318$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.9 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.6 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 26c | 1,214$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.78 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 25c | 972.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.89 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…740dbacked Yes | 72c | 895.81$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 75c | 880.31$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.85 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 812.6$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.87 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 44c | 709.43$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 47c | 704.93$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed No | 44c | 700$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 20c | 699.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 34c | 575.45$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.16 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 48c | 488.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 67c | 474.17$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.57 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…9817backed Yes | 70c | 416.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked No | 55c | 409.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…fff7backed No | 47c | 400$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 43c | 390.32$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked Yes | 43c | 300.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…93f6backed No | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 56c | 299.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 21c | 277.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 73c | 250.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 53c | 240.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 55c | 236.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 53c | 225.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…141ebacked Yes | 60c | 225.1$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 46c | 211.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…7a28backed Yes | 55c | 210$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 43c | 207.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed No | 76c | 202.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…ee4ebacked Yes | 46c | 196.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…7a18backed Yes | 64c | 196$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 36c | 192.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…e2f1backed Yes | 54c | 190$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 79c | 186.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 172$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…8c3cbacked No | 45c | 165.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 53c | 109.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 57c | 105.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 80c | 104.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -26.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked No | 41c | 102.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…9cd3backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…25d8backed Yes | 54c | 86.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 51c | 78.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…d16dbacked Yes | 63c | 77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 45c | 75.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…d311backed Yes | 67c | 74.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 43c | 74.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 57c | 70.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…7efbbacked No | 29c | 69.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 49c | 57.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 28c | 54.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 39c | 51.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…577ebacked No | 33c | 51.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed Yes | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 56c | 48.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…22e0backed No | 48c | 48.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…9498backed Yes | 36c | 46.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…fd96backed No | 28c | 43.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2056…3660backed Yes | 53c | 41.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…002dbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…6eaabacked Yes | 57c | 39.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…760ebacked Yes | 56c | 37.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Yes | 56c | 37.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…9a29backed Yes | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 55c | 34.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 50c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…5416backed No | 68c | 33.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…537cbacked Yes | 53c | 33.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 32c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…5a38backed Yes | 48c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…9e05backed No | 51c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…5b9ebacked No | 52c | 25.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…6530backed No | 52c | 25.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…5256backed No | 65c | 23.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.