Movies · resolved market
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3837012c1571b4749836b77427942c85c58e20eb8a5022505e3877a4aa7bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 0c | 78,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 5c | 47,161$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.68 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…30ddbacked Yes | 0c | 19,441$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…ac86backed Yes | 0c | 18,834$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 1c | 15,100$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 2c | 13,074$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,652$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 0c | 12,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 28c | 11,296$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.31 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 10c | 10,125$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.03 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd2…f22bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,070$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,534$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 23c | 4,625$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.83 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…6facbacked Yes | 16c | 4,315$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 3,581$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,339$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,630$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,608$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…6693backed Yes | 1c | 2,189$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,018$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.34 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…7e61backed Yes | 2c | 1,620$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 26c | 1,535$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…8823backed Yes | 2c | 1,450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,429$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 4c | 1,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 5c | 1,291$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 21c | 1,216$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 18c | 1,117$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Yes | 3c | 1,098$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc945…5676backed Yes | 28c | 1,057$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 949.43$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 25c | 933.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 25c | 930.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 20c | 909$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…3de9backed Yes | 29c | 900$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 5c | 809.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed Yes | 2c | 740$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 29c | 692.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 25c | 668.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 31c | 645.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 76c | 620.29$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 406.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 372.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 4c | 344.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 25c | 315.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Yes | 23c | 305.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 21c | 272.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 11c | 261$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 76c | 232$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed Yes | 26c | 227.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 13c | 222.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 22c | 218.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 207.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 19c | 197.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 26c | 182.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…560abacked Yes | 10c | 166.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 30c | 154.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…44ecbacked Yes | 20c | 150.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 74c | 142.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 26c | 132.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 123.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 12c | 117.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 19c | 113$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 106.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…4176backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 13c | 87.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 25c | 79.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b99…ae20backed Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…93d2backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…6d65backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…7ff9backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?this page
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?Yes won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.