Movies · resolved market
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafd72a3d351d899084dab29e35feb86b1696c95d3fa92df0e1d835bd09b5d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 35c | 17,887$6,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,602.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 65c | 15,065$9,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 41c | 13,785$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.84 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e2b2backed Yes | 41c | 11,585$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,835.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…55d6backed Yes | 41c | 11,500$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 13c | 11,194$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.33 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 60c | 10,674$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.66 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 57c | 10,647$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…fb90backed No | 20c | 8,782$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…01f5backed No | 59c | 8,086$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,999$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 21c | 7,941$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.54 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…771abacked No | 59c | 7,631$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffe…e4febacked No | 59c | 7,368$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 77c | 5,869$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.89 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 61c | 5,480$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed No | 16c | 5,457$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 67c | 5,178$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.6 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 24c | 4,174$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.88 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.93 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,571$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed No | 9c | 2,350$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 9c | 2,207$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 50c | 2,186$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,771$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.28 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…59f0backed Yes | 12c | 1,652$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 13c | 1,553$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,369$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.17 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 42c | 1,214$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.71 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed No | 25c | 1,128$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 36c | 1,114$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 33c | 1,076$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.39 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed No | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 77c | 985.45$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46c4…86d5backed No | 3c | 953.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 31c | 908.05$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 803.55$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.29 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 800$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…8dc7backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked Yes | 43c | 722.44$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…3344backed No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 14c | 684.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 27c | 669.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.71 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed No | 54c | 660$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…20afbacked Yes | 18c | 611.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 21c | 598.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 18c | 503.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…2d16backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…8ccbbacked No | 21c | 484.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…dc5dbacked Yes | 20c | 475.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…4cccbacked No | 45c | 428.56$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 80c | 381.93$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 43c | 358.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 8c | 327.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 291.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 36c | 286.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 69c | 284.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…a5acbacked No | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 16c | 260.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 20c | 253.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…8d31backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 45c | 248.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea5…7f90backed Yes | 28c | 224.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 222$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked No | 18c | 217$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…7e61backed Yes | 60c | 209.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 200.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 75c | 173.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 18c | 168.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 77c | 161.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 78c | 154.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…f2dabacked Yes | 20c | 150.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…3c8abacked Yes | 76c | 146.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 67c | 144.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 37c | 143.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…fde9backed Yes | 12c | 129.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…a0d4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 50c | 121.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3031…4c1bbacked No | 10c | 120.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…777fbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…b411backed No | 21c | 114$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 52c | 112.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?this page
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.