Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075f60e50fb5b8f65cd6f71bf42f9f501bdebc890299ba42de2f0c47d26c2bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,850$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,009$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,492$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,355$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8e…eb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 841.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 830$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 16c | 590.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…bb15backed Yes | 3c | 456.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 6c | 425.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 16c | 404.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 16c | 375.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 349.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 228.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…37f8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…de02backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…9c1ebacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.