Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd55af7479c7f16b61d2fd9a15c7398867f40329aba5dc780272f8153a9166f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 12,233$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.08 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 41c | 6,697$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.96 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 72c | 3,303$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.14 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 2,253$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,090$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.12 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,423$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.91 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 1,003$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 12c | 837.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 79c | 662.74$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 499.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.24 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Yes | 14c | 280.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +329.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 39c | 280.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 249.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 236.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 199$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 40c | 182.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 135.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 23c | 111.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 50c | 87.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…6d32backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…de02backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 61c | 36.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 49c | 35.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 58c | 24.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 43c | 23.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?this page
- Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.