World Politics · resolved market
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e03dc66d5294670263027439ea57f15c9602bbcd4c4801e5b77d30f509ad6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,211,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $979,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 6c | 58,261$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149e…cd9abacked Yes | 12c | 49,369$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 42,887$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.23 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…999cbacked Yes | 8c | 24,773$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +441.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 7c | 21,308$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.37 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 8c | 15,944$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 8c | 15,586$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.49 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 6c | 13,151$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +311.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 16c | 12,872$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.15 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2096…f6f7backed Yes | 7c | 12,580$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035d…5a61backed Yes | 21c | 10,929$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…23ecbacked Yes | 9c | 10,159$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 6c | 9,894$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…92cabacked Yes | 4c | 9,776$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…5a30backed Yes | 13c | 8,788$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…1988backed Yes | 11c | 8,604$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…a450backed Yes | 15c | 8,458$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +516%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 12c | 8,260$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…20c3backed Yes | 6c | 8,134$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +434.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…cf0abacked Yes | 11c | 7,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…0816backed Yes | 6c | 6,483$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 6c | 6,201$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…9854backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 6c | 5,559$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…b403backed Yes | 13c | 5,019$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +483.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 16c | 4,437$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…a9d9backed Yes | 16c | 4,389$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 10c | 4,320$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.23 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…427ebacked Yes | 12c | 4,132$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…534cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,048$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 8c | 4,008$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…f70bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,862$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +349%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…3318backed Yes | 13c | 3,546$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +226.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 15c | 3,509$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.62 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…457bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,458$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…fbaabacked Yes | 7c | 3,406$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…7bd3backed Yes | 1c | 3,399$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…522dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,020$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +448.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…4094backed Yes | 22c | 2,868$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 13c | 2,792$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 12c | 2,779$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…f046backed Yes | 1c | 2,600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…00f1backed Yes | 6c | 2,550$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…a919backed Yes | 14c | 2,533$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +346.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 2,499$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…51a2backed Yes | 2c | 2,431$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 2,292$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…e52abacked Yes | 6c | 2,200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…0de2backed Yes | 8c | 2,118$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…c790backed Yes | 18c | 2,021$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked Yes | 9c | 2,012$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…54b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +611.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…613bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,985$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…e589backed Yes | 25c | 1,974$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…7746backed Yes | 1c | 1,878$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f5…8bcebacked Yes | 13c | 1,878$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…2e72backed Yes | 8c | 1,827$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0b…2be6backed Yes | 7c | 1,774$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…aa19backed Yes | 15c | 1,769$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…f042backed Yes | 1c | 1,732$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb9…ce0bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,609$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…0281backed Yes | 12c | 1,596$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 12c | 1,551$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…7aa3backed Yes | 9c | 1,520$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…b5a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…d757backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +418.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,423$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 1,410$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…4e68backed Yes | 7c | 1,385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 1,377$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 5c | 1,356$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 1,355$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…71d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…b21bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,227$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…5228backed Yes | 10c | 1,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…5818backed Yes | 6c | 1,128$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +492.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…8739backed Yes | 12c | 1,110$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…91cabacked Yes | 14c | 1,106$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…3c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,073$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342b…95c0backed Yes | 13c | 1,065$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…e9d9backed Yes | 14c | 1,051$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…ff41backed Yes | 12c | 1,045$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…8b00backed Yes | 10c | 1,022$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…ae71backed Yes | 14c | 1,015$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…f6b9backed Yes | 13c | 994.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…ac38backed Yes | 20c | 990.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Yes | 6c | 974.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…bc16backed Yes | 32c | 938.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…4edfbacked Yes | 14c | 933$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…bb91backed Yes | 16c | 920.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 14c | 911.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…c714backed Yes | 37c | 893.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…6a2bbacked Yes | 13c | 885$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed Yes | 9c | 882.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.