World Politics · resolved market
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49b9f68568892e828085f84a31e811a24f4481aea5cd08ab62261810ec0d402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,877,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,877,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a6d…3a8cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,325,958$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…1e87backed Yes | 0c | 1,121,233$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…728bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,029,080$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…db25backed Yes | 0c | 909,068$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…fda9backed Yes | 0c | 437,959$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…e901backed Yes | 0c | 401,335$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…35abbacked Yes | 0c | 348,133$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…30d4backed Yes | 0c | 320,574$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…40b7backed Yes | 0c | 312,240$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…3be6backed Yes | 0c | 309,182$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…792abacked Yes | 0c | 306,673$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…5706backed Yes | 0c | 300,640$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5312…6797backed Yes | 0c | 300,609$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…18f1backed Yes | 0c | 298,840$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…866fbacked Yes | 0c | 288,579$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…fc15backed Yes | 0c | 283,042$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…b4c7backed Yes | 0c | 279,213$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…980dbacked Yes | 0c | 277,547$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…9d44backed Yes | 0c | 269,670$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…46f8backed Yes | 0c | 264,687$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…a218backed Yes | 0c | 257,082$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…d195backed Yes | 0c | 229,867$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6408backed Yes | 0c | 229,867$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…a902backed Yes | 0c | 222,887$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…deedbacked Yes | 0c | 211,500$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…5fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 207,780$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 0c | 207,771$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 0c | 202,045$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…da77backed Yes | 0c | 202,045$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 0c | 202,025$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…0bdfbacked Yes | 0c | 202,025$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…5e89backed Yes | 0c | 197,466$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…e7f3backed Yes | 0c | 196,269$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…de03backed Yes | 0c | 191,727$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…1620backed Yes | 0c | 187,697$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…cbe0backed Yes | 0c | 187,354$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 0c | 187,131$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…a429backed Yes | 0c | 183,433$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…8b09backed Yes | 0c | 182,897$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…46d8backed Yes | 0c | 180,600$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…1f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 178,076$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 0c | 175,573$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 0c | 172,942$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 0c | 172,942$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ef84backed Yes | 0c | 172,782$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…8307backed Yes | 0c | 170,708$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…b071backed Yes | 0c | 170,708$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d667backed Yes | 0c | 167,176$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…db0abacked Yes | 0c | 166,842$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 0c | 164,850$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…6840backed Yes | 0c | 158,530$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…cd17backed Yes | 0c | 157,340$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…d115backed Yes | 0c | 157,340$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 0c | 149,003$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5377backed Yes | 0c | 145,986$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 145,986$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…a275backed Yes | 0c | 145,946$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…a21bbacked Yes | 0c | 143,493$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…95eebacked Yes | 0c | 143,493$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…90e5backed Yes | 0c | 142,620$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…fbe3backed Yes | 0c | 142,620$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2798backed Yes | 0c | 138,008$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 121,912$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 0c | 120,797$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…6cb9backed Yes | 0c | 110,561$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…82d2backed Yes | 0c | 97,561$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…def3backed Yes | 0c | 97,092$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8962…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 83,697$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…b18fbacked Yes | 0c | 83,674$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…be88backed Yes | 0c | 69,686$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…79d1backed Yes | 0c | 55,749$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…bb97backed Yes | 0c | 14,588$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,820$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…51a2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…425cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,967$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.