World Politics · resolved market
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3e77051639ff3cc2cd1735d6667d15514da142558bc198bcd9e73d1feb2a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,275,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,271,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,275,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 943 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1607…121ebacked Yes | 10c | 101,906$10,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,340.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +556.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 9c | 84,570$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,876.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +209%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 41c | 80,780$32,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,811.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked No | 2c | 64,086$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 61,136$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.99 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…1b3fbacked Yes | 8c | 51,835$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,449.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +763.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…885ebacked Yes | 7c | 31,063$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,736.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,235%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…20c3backed Yes | 13c | 25,666$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,372.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +434.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ed…c73abacked Yes | 14c | 24,444$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,969.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 6c | 24,302$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,759.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +544.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…0618backed No | 75c | 19,458$14,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,678.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…cf0abacked No | 24c | 16,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 14c | 14,744$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,606.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…bc80backed Yes | 9c | 12,589$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,034.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…dfdcbacked Yes | 8c | 12,574$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,604.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,197.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…7e23backed Yes | 11c | 12,194$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,905.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +571.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…f8a2backed Yes | 8c | 12,119$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…1b0cbacked No | 7c | 12,041$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…23ecbacked Yes | 9c | 11,628$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,627.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…4206backed Yes | 41c | 11,566$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…6e6fbacked Yes | 10c | 11,507$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,337.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +575.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0072backed No | 1c | 10,940$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…999cbacked Yes | 8c | 10,266$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,451.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +441.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…92cabacked No | 6c | 10,008$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,289.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +540.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked Yes | 9c | 9,945$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,018.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…d309backed Yes | 10c | 9,274$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +383%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 33c | 8,886$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…9e4cbacked Yes | 10c | 8,379$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +416.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…453ebacked Yes | 9c | 8,245$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +263.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…e8c4backed Yes | 10c | 8,030$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +420.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…5ffebacked Yes | 8c | 7,879$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,244.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,141.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 55c | 7,770$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.43 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…7069backed Yes | 10c | 7,677$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +883.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 11c | 7,192$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 71c | 7,095$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 6,995$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.38 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 76c | 6,661$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…e816backed Yes | 69c | 6,653$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…78babacked Yes | 10c | 6,442$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,815.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +928.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…7896backed Yes | 8c | 6,426$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,148.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 79c | 6,371$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…a919backed Yes | 13c | 6,221$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +346.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…c423backed Yes | 11c | 6,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +560.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…4d16backed Yes | 9c | 5,607$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4069backed Yes | 13c | 5,505$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +579.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 10c | 5,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +311.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 5,037$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.12 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…e71dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,011$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +705.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 7c | 4,892$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +681.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…cf0dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,809$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…2128backed Yes | 9c | 4,597$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +961.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,552$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +946.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…ac7abacked Yes | 9c | 4,509$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 15c | 4,364$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +551.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…56ccbacked Yes | 9c | 4,214$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +997.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…1a98backed Yes | 9c | 4,169$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +961.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…92b8backed Yes | 13c | 4,158$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +661.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 7c | 4,096$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 8c | 3,996$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +440.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…4af1backed Yes | 8c | 3,867$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +504.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 3,817$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.73 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…06ffbacked Yes | 9c | 3,800$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…c4f9backed Yes | 13c | 3,672$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +691.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…5228backed Yes | 7c | 3,629$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…fbcfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,618$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,059.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…2ad3backed No | 37c | 3,608$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…8d8cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,552$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,293.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 9c | 3,519$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…54b3backed Yes | 7c | 3,449$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +611.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…d757backed Yes | 6c | 3,442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +418.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 19c | 3,259$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 3,237$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.81 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…7f49backed Yes | 8c | 3,171$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,224.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…2ab1backed Yes | 13c | 3,154$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…156dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,857$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +1,006.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed No | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…8e0bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,815$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…e99bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,709$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +208%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 19c | 2,556$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…1fa6backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +554.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8be…ba67backed No | 1c | 2,418$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 6c | 2,402$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +433.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…4d7cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,390$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +415.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 11c | 2,335$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 2,325$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 2,318$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.02 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…cdb4backed Yes | 23c | 2,302$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7c…5399backed Yes | 53c | 2,277$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Yes | 8c | 2,255$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…4166backed Yes | 9c | 2,247$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,023.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…5ff5backed Yes | 9c | 2,187$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,017.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…534cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,166$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…c331backed Yes | 9c | 2,111$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,041.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…026dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,097$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +706.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…b4d3backed Yes | 9c | 2,074$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,021.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 5c | 2,055$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 36c | 1,914$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…983bbacked No | 1c | 1,909$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.