Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03a595d2a38347e2e8abf145099690823542377f34fe98ede3f03d295533e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 5c | 25,807$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.36 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 0c | 18,675$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 15,943$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 5c | 15,032$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.61 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked No | 7c | 14,154$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 5c | 12,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked No | 6c | 11,529$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.75 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 5c | 10,600$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…e3d8backed No | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 6c | 8,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 5,664$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 6c | 5,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 7c | 3,766$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 3,513$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 7c | 3,050$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 6c | 2,816$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 6c | 2,498$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +107%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 6c | 2,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 6c | 1,933$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 6c | 1,832$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 8c | 1,489$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 7c | 1,274$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 15c | 1,266$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 5c | 1,210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 7c | 1,126$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 2c | 1,119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c8bbbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 6c | 999.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 968.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…aeb2backed No | 6c | 916.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked No | 5c | 899.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…0ee8backed No | 6c | 799.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 7c | 614.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3b…e6ecbacked No | 6c | 609.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…fec5backed No | 6c | 534.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 6c | 437.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 6c | 425.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 3c | 383.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…7782backed No | 7c | 285.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed No | 6c | 200.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes | 69c | 40.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…130ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…1267backed No | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.