NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88e42b62fdc638961ab84529a27bae041cc680a34047bd18488aa4cc0c1682a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 4,819$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.36 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 53c | 4,443$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.05 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.95 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 2,785$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.21 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,712$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.76 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,676$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 2,648$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.56 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 47c | 2,584$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.48 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,060$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,379$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 1,095$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.11 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 1,068$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.97 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 899.19$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 735.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 691.75$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 45c | 558.44$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 522.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 19c | 517.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 53c | 517$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 48c | 463.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 452.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 70c | 338.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 51c | 276.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 54c | 222.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 220.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 51c | 196.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 15c | 120.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 47c | 94.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 53c | 92.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 71.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 54.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 51.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Over | 54c | 50.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Under | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 37.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Over | 53c | 33.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 32.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 54c | 27.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 26.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Over | 56c | 23.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Over | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. KingsFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.