Middle East · resolved market
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4dedf18c2535a5de9f0099764441776a61231bd2d1a90a51fe53257fae2e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 1c | 37,610$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 1c | 31,349$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…5931backed No | 9c | 25,459$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 22c | 22,485$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.14 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…a780backed Yes | 73c | 19,423$14,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 78c | 13,714$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.75 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 9c | 12,728$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.29 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 79c | 12,432$9,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked No | 1c | 12,210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No | 4c | 11,151$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked No | 8c | 8,814$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 18c | 8,583$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 19c | 8,357$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.69 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 6,780$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.16 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 26c | 6,226$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.29 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 3c | 6,101$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked No | 21c | 5,952$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.65 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 20c | 5,796$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.65 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 17c | 5,533$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.53 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 19c | 5,174$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 16c | 5,170$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 20c | 5,148$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.31 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…6ffabacked Yes | 79c | 4,956$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 14c | 4,853$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.28 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 27c | 3,678$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 27c | 3,512$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked No | 16c | 3,440$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.19 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…e485backed No | 17c | 3,438$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…c345backed No | 2c | 3,287$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 25c | 3,154$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.64 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…e25dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,106$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…e0ffbacked No | 6c | 3,094$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 13c | 2,874$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 16c | 2,839$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 22c | 2,834$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.38 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 21c | 2,794$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.6 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…32d5backed No | 42c | 2,608$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 54c | 2,533$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.19 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 79c | 2,522$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed No | 4c | 2,436$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 79c | 2,321$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 3c | 2,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 6c | 2,112$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 20c | 2,095$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 2,082$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed No | 23c | 2,075$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.53 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…c8ddbacked No | 1c | 2,059$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…8641backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 46c | 1,966$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.45 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 1,914$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.91 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 29c | 1,904$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 14c | 1,880$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 28c | 1,877$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.05 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked No | 17c | 1,813$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 1,796$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 21c | 1,773$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.26 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,735$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…5635backed No | 2c | 1,662$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…c4ffbacked No | 1c | 1,570$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…edfabacked No | 16c | 1,560$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed No | 13c | 1,547$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…a56fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 78c | 1,496$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed No | 25c | 1,482$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 1,450$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 18c | 1,425$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 19c | 1,400$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 18c | 1,389$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.93 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 1,380$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 18c | 1,362$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…e94abacked No | 17c | 1,360$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed No | 2c | 1,320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…97afbacked No | 2c | 1,284$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…bd40backed No | 9c | 1,247$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 16c | 1,227$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 15c | 1,226$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 23c | 1,205$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.63 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…933cbacked No | 2c | 1,160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 59c | 1,160$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.47 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 17c | 1,159$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 80c | 1,141$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked No | 2c | 1,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 13c | 1,133$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 17c | 1,113$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 61c | 1,092$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 8c | 1,086$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,078$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 13c | 1,062$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked No | 19c | 1,048$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…bb53backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed No | 11c | 999.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…cfb6backed No | 8c | 945.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…31f3backed No | 22c | 944.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…9b56backed No | 2c | 944.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.