Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b94a79241263ba30e9cd7f58e88bf2a9013ce2ccdce73606916b2f53033466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,462,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,117,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,462,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12e8…1f6ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,002,911$11,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,011.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6433…b427backed Yes | 0c | 882,421$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 1c | 473,225$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 320,000$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.62 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…b5bbbacked Yes | 1c | 276,542$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd24…22f3backed Yes | 2c | 181,157$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 1c | 114,084$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…6ff6backed Yes | 4c | 106,197$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed Yes | 1c | 86,419$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 84,467$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 1c | 74,652$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Yes | 2c | 55,976$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 2c | 52,808$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…1f24backed Yes | 2c | 51,614$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a1…35edbacked Yes | 1c | 51,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…81b7backed Yes | 1c | 50,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…3ab1backed Yes | 1c | 45,277$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 43,867$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.71 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…4c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 41,026$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 2c | 40,317$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.74 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c8c5backed Yes | 2c | 36,357$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…aac4backed Yes | 1c | 33,806$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…9f65backed Yes | 1c | 31,963$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…3182backed Yes | 1c | 28,360$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 11c | 28,305$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,777$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 27,542$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…e363backed Yes | 1c | 26,712$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…828abacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes | 3c | 24,999$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…d045backed Yes | 1c | 24,340$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…34bcbacked Yes | 1c | 23,750$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 1c | 22,653$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…1c04backed Yes | 4c | 22,466$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…e272backed Yes | 1c | 21,683$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…d493backed Yes | 2c | 21,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 1c | 20,267$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…8f8bbacked Yes | 10c | 20,025$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Yes | 4c | 19,414$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed Yes | 1c | 18,900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250d…2a94backed Yes | 1c | 18,403$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…ce50backed Yes | 1c | 17,940$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 1c | 17,333$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…4128backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdc…1348backed Yes | 9c | 16,601$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 1c | 15,864$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…d349backed Yes | 3c | 15,077$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…811fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,050$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 1c | 14,560$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 14,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…01a6backed Yes | 1c | 14,451$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…27cdbacked Yes | 7c | 14,142$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…fe4fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,393$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fb10backed Yes | 13c | 13,213$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…5706backed Yes | 4c | 13,026$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,782$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…c291backed Yes | 9c | 12,606$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…7ef1backed Yes | 1c | 12,590$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…18bbbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…ea52backed Yes | 2c | 12,272$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…346bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,915$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…3163backed Yes | 1c | 11,766$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…67a7backed Yes | 1c | 11,687$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Yes | 1c | 11,123$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…cf7bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,645$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…0bcfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,522$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,419$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Yes | 0c | 10,234$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Yes | 11c | 10,039$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…207dbacked Yes | 12c | 9,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…a5a7backed Yes | 1c | 9,666$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 1c | 9,519$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…4df8backed Yes | 9c | 9,260$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…a858backed Yes | 1c | 9,254$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Yes | 2c | 8,835$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 8,474$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…8051backed Yes | 1c | 8,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 8,170$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…74abbacked Yes | 1c | 8,047$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…7c82backed Yes | 1c | 7,897$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Yes | 1c | 7,728$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 2c | 7,662$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…27b9backed Yes | 3c | 7,600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…578dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,334$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…9701backed Yes | 3c | 7,274$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…0601backed Yes | 1c | 7,171$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…a16dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,905$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…0ffebacked Yes | 1c | 6,826$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…57f2backed Yes | 1c | 6,781$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…804dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,667$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…87d8backed Yes | 1c | 6,555$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…373cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,421$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…e0f3backed Yes | 2c | 6,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…d761backed Yes | 24c | 6,281$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…6ca3backed Yes | 1c | 6,207$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?this page
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.