Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568ef50047d16c3d071dfd22ddc06740f0d87b77769f6d9891a88490450bcc40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,419,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,154,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,419,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 0c | 259,002$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 0c | 50,822$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,215$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 0c | 33,864$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 1c | 29,553$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 15,224$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 11,966$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.04 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 0c | 10,055$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 1c | 8,907$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 0c | 7,955$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,953$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…15b2backed Yes | 6c | 7,469$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 0c | 6,755$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c8c5backed Yes | 2c | 6,100$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,607$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d8ddbacked Yes | 8c | 5,540$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…6ff6backed Yes | 1c | 5,476$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,340$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…3af0backed Yes | 7c | 4,521$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…097bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,515$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 1c | 4,341$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…3736backed Yes | 1c | 4,223$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…a194backed Yes | 4c | 4,143$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…e58bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,805$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…1359backed Yes | 7c | 3,432$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…52d0backed Yes | 8c | 3,319$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,044$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448c…bcdebacked Yes | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…6cf5backed Yes | 7c | 2,969$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…8b43backed Yes | 9c | 2,836$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…c904backed Yes | 9c | 2,728$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…3d07backed Yes | 5c | 2,604$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…22f6backed Yes | 3c | 2,583$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…2906backed Yes | 7c | 2,564$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…9311backed Yes | 9c | 2,431$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,390$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…8738backed Yes | 7c | 2,354$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…a3fdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,349$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…dfd8backed Yes | 9c | 2,327$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…0e8bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…3e41backed Yes | 9c | 2,297$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…eef4backed Yes | 9c | 2,275$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…e13abacked Yes | 9c | 2,274$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…fdb4backed Yes | 5c | 2,256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Yes | 1c | 2,170$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5169…0f20backed Yes | 9c | 2,159$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…1dc7backed Yes | 3c | 2,110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…b6b2backed Yes | 9c | 2,092$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…9101backed Yes | 5c | 2,082$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…6fc6backed Yes | 5c | 2,082$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…5365backed Yes | 5c | 1,999$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a44…2560backed Yes | 5c | 1,996$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…a181backed Yes | 9c | 1,984$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…a42ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,972$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…14c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,964$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…30a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,958$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…1864backed Yes | 5c | 1,938$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…704cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,926$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…ef73backed Yes | 4c | 1,917$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…9f3fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,906$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…d5a2backed Yes | 9c | 1,887$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…3975backed Yes | 9c | 1,867$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…c20cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,863$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0342…3e9dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,858$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 1c | 1,839$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…4487backed Yes | 3c | 1,823$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…dd59backed Yes | 6c | 1,814$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…0abebacked Yes | 9c | 1,788$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…628bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,784$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…0ab2backed Yes | 5c | 1,746$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…8cc9backed Yes | 5c | 1,739$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…70d5backed Yes | 1c | 1,703$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…8fdcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,698$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…d7cabacked Yes | 7c | 1,603$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…70e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,599$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09e…94b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,579$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…40a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,578$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…0730backed Yes | 3c | 1,564$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…eef9backed Yes | 9c | 1,563$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…6db8backed Yes | 4c | 1,551$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…c578backed Yes | 7c | 1,550$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…3e28backed Yes | 5c | 1,540$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…b572backed Yes | 5c | 1,508$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…47a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,480$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…8f98backed Yes | 5c | 1,469$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…79d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,441$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…391dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,433$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…0ae2backed Yes | 3c | 1,423$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…aad1backed Yes | 9c | 1,371$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a5d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,362$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…3e5dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,356$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…b78bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,336$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…1f76backed Yes | 5c | 1,335$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…1360backed Yes | 5c | 1,330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…672cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,324$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?this page
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.