Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db131f56117dd3883cb0f6ce289af6176a0f322f943cb4f226122a46619544b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed No | 32c | 4,118$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 70c | 2,222$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.56 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,448$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.88 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 62c | 1,374$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…5a38backed Yes | 66c | 471.53$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 76c | 420.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 373.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 349.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…19e4backed No | 11c | 330$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 34c | 292.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 30c | 283.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 21c | 275$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 10c | 250.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…fdabbacked No | 5c | 248.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 235.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 224.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 217.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…c9b9backed No | 10c | 214.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 67c | 211.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 182.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…c686backed Yes | 36c | 178.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 18c | 160.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed No | 13c | 154.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…19b2backed Yes | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 137.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 11c | 133.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…365bbacked No | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 21c | 107.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 79c | 95.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 12c | 93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 89.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 14c | 87.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 30c | 87.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 13c | 86.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 44c | 63.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 54c | 59.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 61c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…eef0backed No | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Ja’Mel Brown win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.